Eredivisie
Feyenoord - Telstar
02/22/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
2.9
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
59%
Draw
24%
Away Win
17%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
83%
Away or Draw
41%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Class difference in the table: Second-placed Feyenoord meets 17th, establishing a clear favorite role
- Strong home record vs. weak away form: Feyenoord scores an average of 2.31 goals at home, while Telstar concedes 1.88 goals away
- Form tells the story: Feyenoord has won 3 of the last 5 games, Telstar is winless in 5 matches
Risk Factors
- Key offensive players missing for Feyenoord: With Sem Steijn (7 goals, 2 assists) and Leo Sauer (3 goals, 2 assists), players responsible for a large part of the goal threat are absent
- Stuttering offense at Feyenoord: The home team's goal production has recently dropped to 1.4 goals per game, well below the season average of 2.1
Overview
Feyenoord (2nd place, 45 points) hosts Telstar (17th place, 18 points) at Stadion Feijenoord
Eredivisie match on February 22, 2026, 8:00 PM
The roles are clearly defined: the top team meets a relegation candidate
The mathematical analysis supports the favorite role with a home win probability of 59%
Form
Feyenoord form (all competitions): WLLWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home team has won 3 of the last 5 matches and lost 2
They are currently on a two-game winning streak
Telstar form (all competitions): DLLDD
The visitors are winless in their last 5 games, with 3 draws and 2 losses
The form curve clearly favors Feyenoord
Statistics
Feyenoord has one of the strongest offenses in the league, averaging 2.3 goals per game
Telstar, on the other hand, scores only 1.17 goals on average and concedes 1.7 goals
Telstar's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 1.88 goals per game
Feyenoord is very dangerous at home, scoring an average of 2.31 goals per home game
At Stadion Feijenoord, an average of 3.8 goals per game have been scored in recent matches
Head-to-Head
There has been only one direct duel between the two teams in recent history
Feyenoord won that match 2-1
The goal difference is accordingly 2-1 in favor of Feyenoord
Key Players
Ayase Ueda is Feyenoord's top striker with 18 goals this season
Anis Hadj Moussa also contributes significantly to the offense with 6 goals and 4 assists
Defender Jordan Bos also shows offensive qualities with 3 goals and 3 assists
For Telstar, Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp (4 goals) and Jeff Hardeveld (4 goals, 4 assists) are the most dangerous players in midfield
Goalkeeper Ronald Koeman Jr. stands out with a high average rating
Goalkeepers
Feyenoord's goalkeeper Timon Wellenreuther has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Telstar's keeper Ronald Koeman Jr. has managed 3 clean sheets so far
The statistics here favor the home team's goalkeeper
Influences
Feyenoord enjoys a strong home advantage at Stadion Feijenoord
They score an average of 2.31 goals per game at home
Recent matches at the stadium have been very high-scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals
In 3 of the last 5 home matches, both teams scored