Eredivisie
FC Twente - Feyenoord
03/01/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%What influences the xG?
FC Twente
Feyenoord
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
30%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Clash of styles: Feyenoord's high-powered away offense (2.3 goals per game) meets Twente's extremely solid home defense (1.0 goals conceded per game)
- Diverging offensive trends: Twente's goal production has recently increased (2.5 goals on average lately), while Feyenoord's has dropped to just 1.0 goals per game
- Mathematical prediction: The model slightly favors FC Twente with a 42% win probability, highlighting the home advantage
Risk Factors
- Feyenoord's significant injury problems: The visitors are missing several key players, including important goalscorers Sem Steijn (7 season goals) and Leo Sauer (3 season goals)
- Historical record: Feyenoord has had the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters with 2 wins and 2 draws to just one loss
Overview
FC Twente (6th place, 38 points) hosts Feyenoord (2nd place, 48 points) at De Grolsch Veste
Top Eredivisie clash on March 1, 2026, 2:30 PM
Feyenoord aims to stay close to the top of the table, while Twente is fighting for European spots
The prediction suggests a slight advantage for the home team, with a 42% win probability
Form
FC Twente Form: DDWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home team is unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws)
Their last result was a 2-1 victory against FC Groningen
Feyenoord Form: LLWWW
The visitors have won their last 3 games
Feyenoord has 3 wins and 2 losses from their last 5 fixtures
Statistics
Feyenoord boasts one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.29 goals per game
FC Twente is very solid defensively at home, conceding an average of only 1.0 goal per game
The visitors are particularly dangerous on the road (averaging 2.3 goals)
In 16 of Feyenoord's 24 league games, there have been over 2.5 goals, while for Twente this was the case in 10 of 24 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for FC Twente, 2 wins for Feyenoord, and 2 draws
The goal difference favors Feyenoord with 10:6
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw
Key Players
Daan Rots (7 goals, 3 assists) and Kristian Hlynsson (5 goals, 2 assists) are key figures in Twente's attack
Defender Mats Rots has also already scored 4 goals this season
For Feyenoord, Ayase Ueda is the standout striker with 18 goals this season
Anis Hadj Moussa (8 goals, 4 assists) is another key player in the visitors' offense
Goalkeepers
Lars Unnerstall is in goal for FC Twente and has kept 6 clean sheets this season
His counterpart, Timon Wellenreuther of Feyenoord, has a slightly better record with 8 clean sheets
Influences
FC Twente is known for its strength at home at De Grolsch Veste, with a solid record of 1.67 goals scored to just 1.0 conceded per home game
However, Feyenoord is one of the strongest away teams in the league with an impressive 2.3 goals per away match
The average number of goals in the last five games at this stadium was 2.4