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Eredivisie

FC Volendam - FC Groningen

03/01/2026, 01:30 PM

3 : 2
Expected Goals
FC Volendam
1.3
Total xG
2.6
FC Groningen
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
FVFG

FC Volendam

Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-0.64
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.02
Henk Veerman not in starting XI (0 goals, 0 assists)
30% of goal output missing (only 69% available)
Strong home record (1.4 vs 1.1 goals/match)

FC Groningen

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.17
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.4 season average)
-0.17

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.72
+0.72
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

30%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

54%

No

46%

Key Factors
  • Extreme form contrast: FC Groningen is in a deep crisis with 5 consecutive losses, while Volendam's form is much more stable
  • Strong home advantage: Volendam is very strong defensively at home (0.83 goals conceded/game), while Groningen is very vulnerable away (1.73 goals conceded/game)
  • Advantage on artificial turf: Volendam has an impressive home record on artificial turf (6W-2D-2L), which could be a decisive factor
Risk Factors
  • Missing goal threat for Volendam: Only 69% of the usual goal threat is available as Henk Veerman (4 goals/2 assists) is not in the squad
  • Historical record: Groningen has dominated the head-to-head encounters in the recent past and won the last match 3-0
  • Groningen's away offense: Despite their poor form, Groningen averages 1.27 goals per away game, which poses a threat
Overview

FC Volendam (15th place, 24 points) hosts FC Groningen (11th place, 31 points) at the Kras Stadion

This is an Eredivisie match on March 1, 2026, 2:30 PM

Volendam is fighting for crucial points against relegation, while Groningen aims to solidify its mid-table position

Form

FC Volendam form: LDWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

In the last 5 matches, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

FC Groningen form: LLLLL

Groningen is in a major crisis with 5 consecutive losses from their last 5 matches

Statistics

Offensively, Groningen has a slight edge with an average of 1.29 goals per game compared to Volendam's 1.08

Defensively, Volendam is significantly more stable at home (0.83 goals conceded per game) than Groningen is away (1.73 goals conceded per game)

15 of Volendam's 24 matches have seen over 2.5 goals

For Groningen, this was the case in 12 of 24 matches

Head-to-Head

In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, FC Groningen has the upper hand with 3 wins, while FC Volendam won once, and 1 match ended in a draw

The goal difference is 13:5 in favor of Groningen

The last meeting was a clear 3-0 victory for Groningen

Key Players

Brandley Kuwas is a key offensive player for Volendam with 4 goals and 3 assists

Robin van Cruijsen has also contributed with 4 goals and 3 assists

Dave Kwakman organizes play from midfield and has provided 3 assists

For Groningen, Brynjólfur Willumsson is the top scorer with 6 goals this season

Stije Resink and Younes Taha are the most creative players with 4 goals and 5 assists each

Goalkeepers

Kayne van Oevelen has been in goal for Volendam in 24 matches, with the team keeping 1 clean sheet

Etienne Vaessen of Groningen has made 21 appearances and has kept a clean sheet with his team 7 times

Influences

FC Volendam has a strong record on their home artificial turf with 6 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses

Statistics from the Kras Stadion show a tendency for high-scoring games, with an average of 2.8 goals and an 80% rate for 'Both teams to score' in the last 5 matches

FC Groningen has a balanced record on artificial turf (1 win, 1 loss)

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