Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen - FC Volendam
03/08/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
2.9
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
11%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
7%What influences the xG?
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
65%
Draw
23%
Away Win
13%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
87%
Away or Draw
35%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- Matchup Advantage: NEC's strong home offense (2.46 goals) meets Volendam's very weak away defense (4.0 goals conceded)
- Historical Dominance: NEC is unbeaten in 5 direct duels against Volendam (4 wins, 1 draw, 18:8 goal difference)
- Mathematical Prediction: The pipeline analysis indicates a 65% home win probability for NEC Nijmegen
Risk Factors
- Volendam's away defense is extremely vulnerable, with an average of 4.0 goals conceded per away game
- NEC Nijmegen's recent goal production has slowed to 1.8 goals, compared to their season average of 2.4 goals
- NEC's home form shows some inconsistency with two recent losses (2:3 against Fortuna Sittard, 1:3 against FC Utrecht)
Overview
NEC Nijmegen (5th place, 43 points) hosts FC Volendam (14th place, 27 points) at Goffertstadion. This Eredivisie match takes place on March 8, 2026, at 8:00 PM. NEC aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table, while Volendam needs crucial points in the fight against relegation
Form
NEC Nijmegen's recent form is WLDDL, which translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). Their last result was a loss. FC Volendam's form is DWWLW, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their last match ended in a win. According to advanced statistics, NEC Nijmegen's goal production has slowed to 1.8 goals, while their season average is 2.4 goals. FC Volendam is currently scoring more frequently with 1.6 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.2 goals
Statistics
NEC Nijmegen averages 2.44 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.72 goals. At home, they average 2.46 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded. FC Volendam averages 1.16 goals scored per game and concedes 1.64 goals. Away from home, Volendam concedes an average of 4.0 goals per game and scores 1.17 goals. At Goffertstadion, the last 5 games averaged 4.2 total goals, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals always occurring
Head-to-Head
In the 5 direct encounters so far, NEC Nijmegen has dominated with 4 wins and 1 draw. FC Volendam has not won any of these matches. The goal difference is clearly in favor of NEC Nijmegen at 18:8. The last meeting on December 7, 2025, ended in a 3:2 victory for NEC Nijmegen at FC Volendam
Key Players
For NEC Nijmegen, Bryan Linssen (7 goals, 7 assists, average rating 7.02), Tjaronn Chery (7 goals, 5 assists, average rating 7.23), and Başar Önal (5 goals, 6 assists, average rating 6.90) are key players. For FC Volendam, Robin van Cruijsen (4 goals, 3 assists, average rating 6.81), Aurelio Oehlers (4 goals, 1 assist, average rating 6.66), and Dave Kwakman (0 goals, 4 assists, average rating 7.19) stand out
Goalkeepers
NEC Nijmegen's goalkeeper, Jasper Cillessen, is named for the match. NEC Nijmegen has kept 3 clean sheets this season. For FC Volendam, Kayne van Oevelen is in goal. FC Volendam has achieved 1 clean sheet this season
Influences
NEC Nijmegen benefits from a clear home advantage, with an average of 2.46 home goals scored and 1.54 home goals conceded. Goffertstadion is known for high-scoring encounters, with an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last five matches. In all of these five games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were always scored