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Eredivisie

NAC Breda - Feyenoord

03/08/2026, 03:45 PM

3 : 3
Expected Goals
NAC Breda
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Feyenoord
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

0:1

12%

1:0

10%

1:2

8%
What influences the xG?
NBFEY

NAC Breda

Attack weakness (0.74x league average)
-0.90
Standings disadvantage (pos 16 vs 2, 14 places gap)
-0.16
Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.15
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.07
Declining form (0.8 vs 1 season average)
-0.07
Mohamed Nassoh on the bench (3 goals, 1 assists)
Moussa Soumano not in squad (3 goals, 0 assists)
28% of goal output missing (only 85% available)
Strong home record (1.5 vs 1 goals/match)

Feyenoord

Attack weakness (0.69x league average)
-0.63
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.36
Declining form (0.8 vs 2 season average)
-0.36
Defensive strength (1.5 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.11
Standings advantage (pos 2 vs 16, 14 places gap)
+0.07
Oussama Targhalline on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (1.5 vs 2 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.68
+0.68
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

30%

Draw

33%

Away Win

37%

Goals

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

63%

Away or Draw

70%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • Feyenoord is the clear favorite, based on their league position and strong season performance
  • Feyenoord dominated head-to-head encounters with 4 wins out of 5 matches
  • NAC Breda's offense shows weaknesses with an average of 1.0 season goals, while Feyenoord's defense is more stable
Risk Factors
  • NAC Breda's goal production is currently at 0.8 goals, below the season average of 1.0
  • Feyenoord's goal production has also stalled, currently at 0.8 goals compared to a season average of 2.0
  • Feyenoord has a high number of 12 injured or suspended players, which could affect squad depth
Overview

NAC Breda (16th place, 22 points) host Feyenoord (2nd place, 48 points) at the Rat Verlegh Stadion

Eredivisie match on March 8, 2026, 4:45 PM

NAC Breda seeks crucial points in the relegation battle, while Feyenoord aims to solidify its position among the top teams

Form

NAC Breda's form in their last five matches across all competitions is "DLWWL"

This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Their last match was a 0-3 away loss against Telstar

Feyenoord's form is "LWWWL", with 3 wins and 2 losses

Feyenoord also lost their last game away with a 0-2 score against FC Twente

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

NAC Breda averages 1.0 goal scored per game and concedes 1.56 goals per game this season

At home, NAC Breda also scores 1.0 goal and concedes 1.2 goals per home game

Feyenoord, on the other hand, averages 2.2 goals scored and concedes 1.4 goals per game

Away from home, Feyenoord is strong offensively with 2.3 goals per game, but concedes 1.6 goals

NAC Breda kept 4 clean sheets, while both teams scored in 12 matches

Feyenoord recorded 8 clean sheets, and in 14 matches both teams scored

At the Rat Verlegh Stadion, an average of 3.0 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches (40%), and 2 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals (40%)

Head-to-Head

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NAC Breda recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 wins for Feyenoord

The goal difference of 2:12 clearly favors Feyenoord

The last encounter on August 9, 2025, saw Feyenoord win away with a 2-0 score

Feyenoord has been the more dominant side in recent encounters

Key Players

For NAC Breda, attacker Charles-Andreas Brym shows rising form with 2 goals and 4 assists this season

Defender Boy Kemper has scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists this season, and his form is stable

Clint Leemans in midfield has contributed 1 goal and shows rising form

For Feyenoord, attacker Ayase Ueda is a key player with 18 goals and 1 assist this season, but shows declining form

Anis Hadj Moussa in attack has 8 goals and 4 assists this season, also with declining form

Defender Jordan Bos contributed 3 goals and 5 assists, and his form is also declining

Goalkeepers

NAC Breda's goalkeeper Daniel Bielica played in 24 season matches and kept 4 clean sheets

Feyenoord's goalkeeper Timon Wellenreuther also played 24 matches and managed to keep 8 clean sheets

Influences

At the Rat Verlegh Stadion, an average of 3.0 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches

Home team NAC Breda scores 1.0 goal and concedes 1.2 goals per home game

Away team Feyenoord is stronger offensively away from home with 2.3 goals per game, but concedes 1.6 goals

The grass playing surface should not have an unusual influence on the game

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