Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard - Telstar
03/08/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.2
1.4
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Fortuna Sittard
Telstar
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
47%
Draw
25%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
53%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Key Factors
- Mathematical analysis forecast: Fortuna Sittard has a home win probability of 47%
- Fortuna Sittard's home strength: an average of 1.62 home goals against Telstar's away defensive deficits (2.12 goals conceded)
- High-scoring home record: In Fortuna Sittard's last five home games, an average of 4.2 goals were scored, and there were always over 2.5 goals and BTTS
Risk Factors
- Injury-related absences for Fortuna Sittard: J. Lonwijk, M. Branderhorst, D. Sinkgraven, R. Bayram
- Missing key player for Telstar: Nils Rossen (3 goals, 1 assist) is not in the lineup
- High probability for both teams to score (64%) and over 2.5 goals (63%) according to the model
Overview
Fortuna Sittard (11th place, 32 points) host Telstar (17th place, 21 points) at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Eredivisie match on March 8, 2026, 2:30 PM. Fortuna Sittard is fighting in the mid-table, while Telstar is battling to stay in the league
Form
Fortuna Sittard shows a form of "LDLWW" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in the last five games. They recorded two wins and one draw. Fortuna Sittard recently achieved two consecutive wins. Telstar has a form of "LDDLW" and registered one win and two draws during this period. Telstar's last appearance also ended in a win
Statistics
Fortuna Sittard scored an average of 1.56 goals per game this season and conceded 1.8 goals. At home, they average 1.62 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded. Telstar scored an average of 1.24 times and conceded 1.64 goals per game. Away from home, Telstar conceded an average of 2.12 goals. In Fortuna Sittard's home games, an average of 4.2 goals were scored in the last five matches, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals falling in all five games. Across the entire season, both teams scored in 19 of Fortuna Sittard's games, and in 16 of Telstar's games
Head-to-Head
The two teams have met in one direct encounter so far. Fortuna Sittard won this single match. The last game took place on September 14, 2025, where Fortuna Sittard defeated Telstar away with a score of 3:1. The goal difference from this duel is 3:1 in favor of Fortuna Sittard
Key Players
For Fortuna Sittard, Mohamed Ihattaren stands out with 6 goals and 8 assists, although his form is slightly declining (Form-Trend: declining). Kaj Sierhuis is the top scorer with 9 goals and his form is stable (Form-Trend: stable). Ivo Pinto provided 5 assists and shows a rising form trend (Form-Trend: rising). For Telstar, Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp is an important offensive player with 7 goals and 1 assist, but with declining form (Form-Trend: declining). Jeff Hardeveld contributed 4 goals and 5 assists, also with declining form (Form-Trend: declining). Tyrese Noslin recorded 1 goal and 2 assists and shows a rising form trend (Form-Trend: rising)
Goalkeepers
Luuk Koopmans was in goal for Fortuna Sittard in 4 games. Fortuna Sittard achieved 3 clean sheets this season. Ronald Koeman Jr. made 24 appearances for Telstar. Telstar recorded 4 clean sheets this season
Influences
Fortuna Sittard plays at their home stadium, where they score an average of 1.62 goals and concede 1.38 goals. The away team, Telstar, concedes an average of 2.12 goals away from home. The last five games at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion were high-scoring, with an average of 4.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals falling in all matches