🇳🇱

Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles - FC Twente

03/08/2026, 01:30 PM

1 : 4
Expected Goals
Go Ahead Eagles
1.2
Total xG
3.1
FC Twente
1.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

2:1

6%

1:3

6%
What influences the xG?
GAEFT

Go Ahead Eagles

Standings disadvantage (pos 12 vs 5, 7 places gap)
-0.09
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.01
Thibo Baeten not in squad (1 goals, 3 assists)
Evert Linthorst on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)

FC Twente

Attack strength (1.56x league average)
+0.56
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.28
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.19
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.8 season average)
+0.19
Standings advantage (pos 5 vs 12, 7 places gap)
+0.06

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.68
+0.68
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

23%

Draw

25%

Away Win

52%

Goals

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

48%

Away or Draw

77%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

61%

No

39%

Key Factors
  • Favorites: Mathematical analysis sees FC Twente as favorites with 52%
  • Form advantage: FC Twente is unbeaten in 5 games and shows a positive form trend (advancedStats)
  • Head-to-head history: FC Twente dominated the previous 5 encounters with 4 wins and 1 draw
Overview

Go Ahead Eagles (12th place, 29 points) host FC Twente (5th place, 41 points) at De Adelaarshorst

Eredivisie match on March 8, 2026, 2:30 PM

FC Twente is fighting for a spot in European competitions, while Go Ahead Eagles try to stay clear of the relegation zone

Form

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Go Ahead Eagles show a form of DLLWW in their last 5 matches

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

FC Twente has a form of DWDWW in their last 5 matches

This means 3 wins, 2 draws, and no losses

Both teams have recently achieved 2 consecutive wins

Statistics

Go Ahead Eagles scored an average of 1.52 goals and conceded 1.56 goals per game this season

At home, they score an average of 1.5 goals and concede 1.14 goals per game

FC Twente scored an average of 1.64 goals and conceded 1.04 goals per game

Away from home, they scored an average of 1.58 goals and conceded 1.17 goals per game

Go Ahead Eagles had 16 matches with both teams scoring and 15 matches with over 2.5 goals

FC Twente had 15 matches with both teams scoring and 10 matches with over 2.5 goals

The venue De Adelaarshorst recorded an average of 2.8 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

3 out of 5 matches ended with both teams scoring, and 3 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

In the 5 direct encounters so far, FC Twente has 4 wins and 1 draw

Go Ahead Eagles have not been able to win any of these duels

The goal difference is 5:13 in favor of FC Twente

The last match on December 14, 2025, was won by FC Twente away with a score of 2:0

FC Twente has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches

Key Players

Go Ahead Eagles: Mathis Suray (9 goals, 1 assist, form stable), Melle Meulensteen (5 goals, 1 assist, form stable), Jakob Breum (2 goals, 4 assists, form rising)

Not nominated are Thibo Baeten (1 goal/3 assists) and Evert Linthorst (1 goal/1 assist)

FC Twente: Daan Rots (7 goals, 3 assists, form rising), Kristian Hlynsson (6 goals, 3 assists, form stable), Mats Rots (4 goals, 3 assists, form rising)

Goalkeepers

Jari De Busser (Go Ahead Eagles) recorded 5 clean sheets this season

Lars Unnerstall (FC Twente) achieved 7 clean sheets this season

Lars Unnerstall shows a rising form with a form delta of 0.48

Influences

Go Ahead Eagles score an average of 1.5 goals at home and concede an average of 1.14 goals

FC Twente score an average of 1.58 goals away and concede an average of 1.17 goals

The De Adelaarshorst stadium averages 2.8 goals per game

60% of matches here had both teams scoring, and 60% had over 2.5 goals

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.