Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda
03/15/2026, 03:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.7
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Go Ahead Eagles
NAC Breda
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
29%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Go Ahead Eagles' home offense (avg. 1.47 goals) faces NAC Breda's vulnerable away defense (avg. 2.33 goals conceded)
- Go Ahead Eagles shows consistent goal production (~1.4 goals) according to Advanced Stats, while NAC Breda is currently stagnating (1.0 goals)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 39% probability
Risk Factors
- NAC Breda is defensively weak away from home, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game
- The absence of M. Soumano (3 goals) hinders NAC Breda's offense, as 18% of their usual goal threat is missing
- Go Ahead Eagles lost 1:4 and 1:3 in their last five home games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities
Overview
Go Ahead Eagles (13th place, 29 points) host NAC Breda (17th place, 23 points) in the Eredivisie. The match will take place on March 15, 2026, 4:45 PM, at De Adelaarshorst. Go Ahead Eagles aim to further distance themselves from the relegation zone, while NAC Breda fights for survival.
Form
Go Ahead Eagles' last five games show a form of L-L-W-W-L (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This equates to 2 wins and 3 losses. The last match ended in a loss.
NAC Breda has achieved a form of L-W-W-L-D in their last five games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This represents 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. The last match ended in a draw.
Statistics
Go Ahead Eagles average 1.5 goals per game and concede 1.65 goals per game this season. They kept 5 clean sheets and had 17 games where both teams scored.
NAC Breda averages 1.08 goals per game and concedes 1.62 goals per game. They kept 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 13 games.
At De Adelaarshorst, an average of 3.0 goals per game are scored. Both teams scored in 60% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of matches.
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, the record between Go Ahead Eagles and NAC Breda is even.
Both teams have won 2 games, and 1 match ended in a draw.
Go Ahead Eagles scored a total of 5 goals, while NAC Breda scored 4 goals.
The last encounter on November 1, 2025, saw NAC Breda win away with a score of 1:0.
Key Players
For Go Ahead Eagles, Mathis Suray stands out with 9 goals and 2 assists, holding an average rating of 6.87.
Jakob Breum contributed 3 goals and 4 assists, and his form is rising with a rating of 7.20.
Melle Meulensteen scored 5 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.07.
Further non-nominated players usually in the starting lineup are Richonell Margaret (1 goal, 2 assists) and Søren Tengstedt (2 goals).
For NAC Breda, Boy Kemper (3 goals, 3 assists) showed an average rating of 6.93.
Lewis Holtby scored 1 goal and provided 5 assists with a rating of 6.87.
Charles-Andreas Brym scored 2 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.86.
Additionally, the non-nominated M. Soumano (3 goals) is absent.
Goalkeepers
Jari De Busser of Go Ahead Eagles kept 5 clean sheets this season.
Daniel Bielica of NAC Breda achieved 4 clean sheets.
Influences
Go Ahead Eagles show a home advantage with an average of 1.47 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per home game.
NAC Breda, on the other hand, concedes an average of 2.33 goals away and scores 1.11 goals per away game.
At De Adelaarshorst stadium, an average of 3.0 goals are scored per game. Both teams scored in 60% of matches and over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of matches.