Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle - FC Groningen
03/13/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.7
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
PEC Zwolle
FC Groningen
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
29%
Away Win
37%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
63%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: FC Groningen is slightly favored with a 37% win probability and 1.40 predicted goals
- Form trend: FC Groningen shows a positive trend with 1.6 goals per game recently, while PEC Zwolle's goal production is stagnant (1.3)
- Defensive strength: FC Groningen has a more stable season defense with an average of 1.38 goals conceded per game compared to 1.96 for PEC Zwolle
Risk Factors
- FC Groningen concedes an average of 1.83 goals per away game
- PEC Zwolle has been winless in their last 5 games, with three consecutive draws recently
- Historical record: Four of the last five head-to-head matches ended in a draw
Overview
PEC Zwolle (13th place, 29 points) hosts FC Groningen (10th place, 34 points) at MACĀ³PARK Stadion
Eredivisie match on March 13, 2026, 8:00 PM
The visitors from Groningen are five points and three places ahead of the home team
Form
PEC Zwolle's form in the last five games is LLDDD (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses)
They have recorded three consecutive draws recently
FC Groningen's form in the last five matches is LLLLW (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses)
They managed to win their last game
Statistics
PEC Zwolle scores an average of 1.35 goals per game and concedes 1.96 goals
At home, they score 1.36 goals and concede 1.36 goals per home game
FC Groningen scores an average of 1.38 goals per game and also concedes 1.38 goals
Away from home, Groningen scores 1.33 goals and concedes 1.83 goals per away game
The MACĀ³PARK Stadion averages 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of matches, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches between PEC Zwolle and FC Groningen, there has been 1 win for PEC Zwolle and 4 draws
FC Groningen has not secured any wins so far
PEC Zwolle scored 6 goals, while FC Groningen scored 4 goals
The last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on November 23, 2025
Key Players
For PEC Zwolle, Koen Kostons with 10 goals and 6 assists with a season rating of 7.03, and Shola Shoretire with 5 goals and 1 assist, are key attacking players
Thijs Oosting contributes with 4 goals and 1 assist to the goal threat
For FC Groningen, Thom van Bergen with 6 goals and 3 assists, and Younes Taha with 4 goals and 6 assists, stand out
Dies Janse is an important defender with 1 goal and 1 assist
Goalkeepers
PEC Zwolle's goalkeeper, Tom de Graaff, has made 24 appearances this season
His season rating is 6.96, and his form is rising
PEC Zwolle has achieved 5 clean sheets this season
FC Groningen's goalkeeper, Hidde Jurjus, has made 5 season appearances with a rating of 6.66
FC Groningen has recorded 7 clean sheets this season
Influences
PEC Zwolle has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses (16:16 goals) on artificial turf
FC Groningen has 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses (4:5 goals) on artificial turf
The home advantage for PEC Zwolle is reflected in their home goals (1.36) and goals conceded (1.36) per game
The MACĀ³PARK Stadion records an average of 2.6 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate and a 60% Over 2.5 rate