Eredivisie
FC Volendam - Fortuna Sittard
03/14/2026, 03:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.1
3.6
1.5
2:1
9%2:2
7%1:2
7%3:1
6%3:2
5%What influences the xG?
FC Volendam
Fortuna Sittard
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
24%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
48%
Under 3.5
52%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
50%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
69%
No
31%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Model favors a home win (50%) and a high-scoring game (69% for Over 2.5 goals)
- FC Volendam's improved offense: The team is currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals/game) than their season average (1.1 goals/game)
- Fortuna Sittard's defensive weaknesses: The team concedes an average of 2.25 goals per away game
Risk Factors
- Historical dominance: Fortuna Sittard won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against FC Volendam
- Fortuna Sittard is currently showing positive offensive form (1.8 goals/game vs. 1.5 season average)
- FC Volendam conceded an average of 1.69 goals per game throughout the season
Overview
FC Volendam (14th place, 27 points) host Fortuna Sittard (11th place, 32 points) at Kras Stadion
Eredivisie match on March 14, 2026, 4:30 PM
Volendam aims to increase the distance from the relegation zone
Fortuna Sittard seeks to consolidate its mid-table position
Form
FC Volendam shows a form of WWLWL in their last 5 games
This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 losses
Fortuna Sittard has a form of DLWWL in their last 5 matches
These are 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
FC Volendam scores an average of 1.12 goals per game and concedes 1.69 goals
At home, FC Volendam averages 1.1 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded
Fortuna Sittard scores an average of 1.54 goals per game and concedes 1.88 goals
Away from home, Fortuna Sittard averages 1.5 goals scored and 2.25 goals conceded
The last 5 games at Kras Stadion saw an average of 2.8 total goals
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
FC Volendam is currently scoring more frequently (1.4) than their season average (1.1)
Fortuna Sittard is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.5)
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, FC Volendam secured 1 win and Fortuna Sittard claimed 4 wins
Goal difference is 3:8 in favor of Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard won the last encounter on October 04, 2025, with a score of 1:0
Key Players
For FC Volendam, Robin van Cruijsen (4 goals, 3 assists seasonally, 2 goals in last 5 games) and Aurelio Oehlers (4 goals, 1 assist seasonally, 1 goal in last 5 games) are important offensive players
Dave Kwakman contributed 4 assists this season, with 2 in the last 5 matches
Not nominated: Brandley Kuwas (5G/3A)
For Fortuna Sittard, Mohamed Ihattaren is a key player with 6 goals and 8 assists this season
Ivo Pinto provided 5 assists seasonally, including 1 in the last 5 games
Lance Duijvestijn scored 2 goals and 1 assist this season, with 1 goal in the last 5 matches
Not nominated: Kaj Sierhuis (10G/0A), Justin Hubner (2G/1A)
Goalkeepers
FC Volendam's goalkeeper Kayne van Oevelen has 1 clean sheet this season, his form is declining
Fortuna Sittard's goalkeeper Luuk Koopmans recorded 3 clean sheets this season, his form trend is rising
Influences
Kras Stadion has an artificial turf surface
FC Volendam has a home record on artificial turf of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses from 10 games with 18:12 goals
Fortuna Sittard has an away record on artificial turf of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses from 5 games with 5:6 goals