Eredivisie
SC Heerenveen - Telstar
03/14/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.5
1.3
2:1
9%3:1
7%2:2
6%1:2
5%3:0
5%What influences the xG?
SC Heerenveen
Telstar
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
58%
Draw
22%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
42%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Key Factors
- SC Heerenveen is favored with a 58% win probability and predicted 2.24 goals versus 1.29 goals
- SC Heerenveen's offensive form shows a clear upward trend with 2.4 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.7 goals
- Abe Lenstra Stadion is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 3.4 goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate
Risk Factors
- Telstar shows positive offensive form with 2.0 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.4 goals
- SC Heerenveen concedes an average of 1.69 goals per game over the season, which could offer chances for Telstar's attack
- Telstar is missing Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp (7 goals, 1 assist) and Nils Rossen (3 goals, 1 assist)
Overview
SC Heerenveen (8th place, 37 points) host Telstar (16th place, 24 points) at Abe Lenstra Stadion
Eredivisie match on March 14, 2026, 8:00 PM
Heerenveen aims to improve their league position, while Telstar is battling against relegation
Form
SC Heerenveen shows good form with WWLWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) in their last five matches
They recently recorded two consecutive wins
Telstar has achieved DDLWW (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) in their last five games, also with two consecutive wins
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
SC Heerenveen averages 1.69 goals scored and 1.69 goals conceded per game
Over 2.5 goals were scored and both teams scored in 19 matches
At home, Heerenveen averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.57 goals conceded
Telstar averages 1.35 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game
Away, their average is 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded
The Abe Lenstra Stadion sees an average of 3.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches
Head-to-Head
There has only been one head-to-head match between these teams
SC Heerenveen won this single encounter
The last game was on October 19, 2025, where Telstar lost at home 2-3 against SC Heerenveen
In total, SC Heerenveen scored 3 goals and Telstar scored 2 goals in these meetings
Key Players
For SC Heerenveen, Jacob Trenskow is a key attacker with 9 goals and 2 assists, and an average rating of 7.20
Lasse Nordås has 4 goals and 1 assist in 8 appearances with a rating of 7.14
Maxence Rivera contributed 2 assists in his last 5 games
For Telstar, Jeff Hardeveld stands out with 4 goals and 6 assists (7.16), and Patrick Brouwer with 6 goals and 3 assists (6.97)
Tyrone Owusu has scored 2 goals in 16 appearances
Goalkeepers
SC Heerenveen's goalkeeper, Bernt Klaverboer, has achieved 2 clean sheets this season
Ronald Koeman Jr., Telstar's goalkeeper, has kept a clean sheet in 4 matches
Influences
Abe Lenstra Stadion tends to produce high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match
Furthermore, both teams scored in 80% of games here
SC Heerenveen shows strong attacking performance at home with an average of 1.71 goals scored and 1.57 goals conceded
Telstar, on the other hand, concedes an average of 1.8 goals per away game
The playing surface is grass