Eredivisie
Feyenoord - Excelsior
03/15/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
2.9
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
11%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
7%What influences the xG?
Feyenoord
Excelsior
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
64%
Draw
23%
Away Win
14%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
86%
Away or Draw
37%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Feyenoord's favored position (64% home win probability) is based on their strong home offense (2.02 predicted goals) against Excelsior's vulnerable away defense (1.92 goals conceded)
- Feyenoord's significantly better form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) contrasts with Excelsior's losing streak (4 losses in their last 5 games)
- Feyenoord dominates direct encounters with 5 wins and 0 losses, scoring 17 goals and conceding 4
Risk Factors
- Excelsior concedes an average of 1.92 goals per away game
- Feyenoord's goal production has recently slowed (1.4 goals) compared to their season average (2.0 goals)
Overview
Feyenoord (3rd place, 49 points) host Excelsior (15th place, 26 points) at Stadion Feijenoord. Eredivisie match on March 15, 2026, 2:30 PM. Feyenoord is fighting for a top spot, while Excelsior is battling against relegation
Form
Feyenoord shows solid form with WWWLD, reflecting 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Their last game was a draw
Excelsior, on the other hand, is in a difficult spell with WLLLL, meaning 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 games, including a 4-game losing streak
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Feyenoord averages 2.23 goals scored and 1.46 goals conceded per season
At home, they score 2.29 goals and concede 1.36
The team has kept 8 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 15 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 17 matches
Excelsior averages 1.04 goals scored and 1.69 goals conceded per game
Away from home, they score 1.0 goal and concede 1.92 goals
Excelsior has kept 5 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 16 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 16 matches
At Stadion Feijenoord, an average of 4.0 goals per game are scored, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord dominates the record with 5 wins and 0 draws
Excelsior has not won any of these matches
Feyenoord scored 17 goals, while Excelsior registered 4 goals
The last encounter was a 2:1 win for Feyenoord on August 16, 2025
Key Players
Feyenoord's Ayase Ueda has scored 20 goals and provided 1 assist this season
Anis Hadj Moussa contributed 8 goals and 5 assists
Defender Jordan Bos also showed offensive strength with 3 goals and 6 assists
For Excelsior, Noah Naujoks has scored 8 goals
Irakli Yegoian is an important midfielder with 4 goals and 2 assists
Gyan de Regt recorded 2 goals and 4 assists
Goalkeepers
Timon Wellenreuther is Feyenoord's goalkeeper and has achieved 8 clean sheets this season
Stijn van Gassel is Excelsior's goalkeeper and has kept 5 clean sheets in the current season
Influences
Feyenoord demonstrates a strong home offense with an average of 2.29 goals scored and a solid defense with 1.36 goals conceded
Excelsior, conversely, scores only 1.0 goal per away game and concedes an average of 1.92 goals
Stadion Feijenoord is known for high-scoring matches, averaging 4.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games