Eredivisie
FC Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles
03/22/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.6
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%1:2
6%3:0
5%What influences the xG?
FC Utrecht
Go Ahead Eagles
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
28%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for FC Utrecht with a 52% probability
- FC Utrecht shows strong home defensive performance with an average of 0.86 goals conceded per home game
- Both teams' offensive form is positive, with FC Utrecht currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.5)
Risk Factors
- Go Ahead Eagles concede an average of 2.3 goals per away game
- Stadion Galgenwaard is known for low-scoring matches, with a 0% Over 2.5 rate in the last five home games
- The probability of both teams scoring is 50% according to the model
Overview
FC Utrecht (9th place, 38 points) host Go Ahead Eagles (13th place, 32 points) at Stadion Galgenwaard. The Eredivisie match takes place on March 22, 2026, 2:30 PM. Utrecht aims to close the gap to the top spots, while the visitors look to solidify their mid-table position
Form
FC Utrecht's current form across all competitions is W D W D W. This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Their last result was a win. Go Ahead Eagles show the form L W W L W in their last 5 matches, with 3 wins and 2 losses. The visitors also won their last game
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
FC Utrecht scores an average of 1.48 goals per game and concedes 1.15 goals. At home, these values improve to an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded per home game. Go Ahead Eagles score an average of 1.67 goals and concede 1.59 goals per game. Away, they concede significantly more goals with 2.3 goals per game. FC Utrecht is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.5). Go Ahead Eagles are also currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.5). In the last five games at Stadion Galgenwaard, an average of 1.6 goals were scored per match. In 1 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and there were no matches with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 3 draws and 1 win for each team. The goal difference is even at 10:10 goals. The last encounter on November 30, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw. The head-to-head record is historically even
Key Players
For FC Utrecht, Souffian El Karouani (2 goals, 10 assists, average rating 7.45), Gjivai Zechiƫl (5 goals, 4 assists, average rating 7.05), and Dani de Wit (4 goals, 2 assists, average rating 6.87) are important players. For Go Ahead Eagles, Mathis Suray (10 goals, 2 assists, average rating 6.92), Jakob Breum (6 goals, 4 assists, average rating 7.34), and Melle Meulensteen (5 goals, 1 assist, average rating 7.07) are key players
Goalkeepers
Vasilios Barkas is in goal for FC Utrecht, having kept 6 clean sheets in 26 appearances. For Go Ahead Eagles, Jari De Busser is the goalkeeper and also recorded 6 clean sheets in 27 games
Influences
FC Utrecht benefits from their home advantage at Stadion Galgenwaard, where they score an average of 1.5 goals and concede only 0.86 goals per home game. Go Ahead Eagles are vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game. Stadion Galgenwaard is known for low-scoring matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game, a 20% BTTS rate, and a 0% Over 2.5 rate