Eredivisie
Telstar - PSV
03/22/2026, 03:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.9
1.9
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
10%1:3
6%0:3
6%What influences the xG?
Telstar
PSV
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
19%
Draw
25%
Away Win
56%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
44%
Away or Draw
81%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- PSV's commanding league leadership with 68 points compared to Telstar in 16th place with 24 points
- PSV's strong away offense, averaging 2.83 goals per game, faces Telstar's home defense, which concedes an average of 1.5 goals
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for PSV with a 56% probability and 1.90 expected goals
Risk Factors
- PSV has lost 2 of their last 5 games, including the most recent one
- Telstar concedes an average of 1.5 goals per home game
- Telstar's poor home record on artificial turf (1 win, 5 draws, 4 losses) could diminish their home advantage
Overview
Telstar (16th place, 24 points) host PSV (1st place, 68 points) at BUKO Stadion
The Eredivisie match takes place on March 22, 2026, 4:45 PM
PSV leads the league, while Telstar battles against relegation
Form
Telstar shows a form of DLWWL across all competitions
The team achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games
Most recently, they suffered a 0-3 defeat against SC Heerenveen away
PSV's form is LWWWL, with 3 wins and 2 losses
PSV lost their last match 2-3 against NEC Nijmegen at home
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
PSV displays an impressive offense with an average of 2.85 goals per game, while Telstar averages 1.3 goals scored
Defensively, PSV concedes an average of 1.26 goals, Telstar 1.67
In home games, Telstar averages 1.31 goals scored and concedes 1.5 goals
PSV scores 2.83 goals away and concedes only 1.08 goals per game
PSV has achieved 6 clean sheets so far, Telstar 4
At BUKO Stadion, an average of 3.0 goals per game are scored, and in 3 out of 5 matches, both teams scored
In 3 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored
Head-to-Head
In the most recent head-to-head encounter on August 30, 2025, PSV won 2-0 at home against Telstar
This was the only recorded duel between the two teams
PSV scored 2 goals, Telstar none
Key Players
Telstar will be without the unnominated Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp (7 goals/1 assist), Nils Rossen (3 goals/1 assist), Guus Offerhaus (0 goals/3 assists), and Nökkvi Thórisson (1 goal/2 assists)
Key players include Jeff Hardeveld with 4 goals and 6 assists with a season rating of 7.15, who did not play in the last 5 games
Patrick Brouwer scored 6 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 6.95 and also did not play in the last 5 games
Danny Bakker with 2 goals and 2 assists has a rating of 6.94 and also did not play recently
Tyrone Owusu shows a positive form trend with an average rating of 7.08 in his last two appearances
PSV will be without the unnominated Joey Veerman (8 goals/13 assists), Mauro Júnior (1 goal/8 assists), Sergiño Dest (1 goal/4 assists), Yarek Gasiorowski (3 goals/1 assist), and Paul Wanner (2 goals/2 assists)
Ismael Saibari is a key player with 12 goals and 7 assists with a rating of 7.42, he scored 1 goal in his last appearance and shows stable form
Guus Til scored 12 goals and 3 assists, played in 4 out of 5 games, and shows declining form
Ricardo Pepi contributed 10 goals and 1 assist, scored 2 goals in 2 appearances, and shows stable form
Goalkeepers
Telstar's goalkeeper Ronald Koeman Jr. has an average season rating of 7.23 and kept 4 clean sheets this season, one of which was at home
PSV goalkeeper Matej Kovar has a rating of 6.79 and achieved 6 clean sheets, 4 of them away
Matej Kovar shows a rising form trend with an improvement of 0.46 in the last five games
Influences
The match will be played on artificial turf
Telstar has a record of 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses with 14:17 goals on artificial turf
PSV, however, has a positive record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss with 10:4 goals on artificial turf
BUKO Stadion records an average of 3.0 goals per game