Eredivisie
FC Groningen - AZ
03/22/2026, 03:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.8
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
FC Groningen
AZ
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
28%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- AZ's impressive form: Currently on a 3-win streak and more potent offensively (2.2 goals) than their season average (2.0)
- Historical dominance of AZ: 4 wins in the last 5 head-to-head matches, including a 4-1 victory in the last encounter
- Groningen's home defense meets AZ's away offense: Groningen is defensively solid at home (Avg. 0.93 goals conceded), while AZ is offensively strong away (Avg. 1.80 goals scored)
Risk Factors
- AZ concedes an average of 2.10 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- AZ has only 3 days of rest since their last match
Overview
FC Groningen (10th place, 35 points) host AZ (6th place, 42 points) at the Euroborg. The Eredivisie match is on March 22, 2026, 4:45 PM. AZ is aiming for European spots, while Groningen is in the midfield of the table.
Form
FC Groningen's form across all competitions is LLLWD. This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 games. Their last match was a 1-1 draw away against PEC Zwolle. AZ's form across all competitions is LLWWW. This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 games. AZ is currently on a winning streak of 3 matches.
Statistics
FC Groningen has scored an average of 1.37 goals per game and conceded 1.37 goals this season. At home, they score 1.33 goals and concede 0.93 goals per home game. AZ scores an average of 1.74 goals per game and concedes 1.56 goals. Away from home, AZ scores an average of 1.80 goals and concedes 2.10 goals. At the Euroborg, an average of 2.6 goals per game has been scored in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games. The mathematical analysis predicts over 2.5 goals with a 54% probability and both teams to score with a 59% probability.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ secured 4 wins and FC Groningen 0 wins, with 1 draw. The goal difference is 12:2 in favor of AZ. The last encounter on August 10, 2025, ended in a 4-1 victory for AZ. AZ has been dominant in recent direct encounters.
Key Players
For FC Groningen, Younes Taha (4 goals, 7 assists, Avg Rating 7.06, declining form trend) and Thom van Bergen (7 goals, 3 assists, Avg Rating 6.93, declining form trend) are important offensive players. Tika de Jonge (2 goals, Avg Rating 6.70) shows a rising form trend. For AZ, Troy Parrott (14 goals, 3 assists, Avg Rating 7.24, declining form trend) and Sven Mijnans (7 goals, 5 assists, Avg Rating 7.17, declining form trend) are key players in attack and midfield. Kees Smit (3 goals, 2 assists, Avg Rating 6.96, declining form trend) is also an important midfielder.
Goalkeepers
For FC Groningen, Hidde Jurjus is in goal, having achieved 4 clean sheets in 6 season appearances at home. For AZ, Jeroen Zoet is the goalkeeper. AZ has achieved a total of 6 clean sheets this season, 4 of which were in away games. FC Groningen has a total of 7 clean sheets this season.
Influences
FC Groningen shows moderate home strength with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 0.93 goals conceded per home game. The grass surface at Euroborg should not have any particular influences. The Euroborg stadium has a history of an average of 2.6 total goals per game. In 80% of the last 5 games at Euroborg, both teams scored, and in 80% over 2.5 goals were scored.