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Eredivisie

FC Groningen - AZ

03/22/2026, 03:45 PM

3 : 0
Expected Goals
FC Groningen
1.4
Total xG
2.8
AZ
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
FGAZ

FC Groningen

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.05
Stije Resink not in squad (5 goals, 5 assists)
Strong home record (1.8 vs 1.4 goals/match)

AZ

Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.08
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.2 goals/match)
+0.07

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.70
+0.70
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

28%

Away Win

35%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

65%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

59%

No

41%

Key Factors
  • AZ's impressive form: Currently on a 3-win streak and more potent offensively (2.2 goals) than their season average (2.0)
  • Historical dominance of AZ: 4 wins in the last 5 head-to-head matches, including a 4-1 victory in the last encounter
  • Groningen's home defense meets AZ's away offense: Groningen is defensively solid at home (Avg. 0.93 goals conceded), while AZ is offensively strong away (Avg. 1.80 goals scored)
Risk Factors
  • AZ concedes an average of 2.10 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • AZ has only 3 days of rest since their last match
Overview

FC Groningen (10th place, 35 points) host AZ (6th place, 42 points) at the Euroborg. The Eredivisie match is on March 22, 2026, 4:45 PM. AZ is aiming for European spots, while Groningen is in the midfield of the table.

Form

FC Groningen's form across all competitions is LLLWD. This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 games. Their last match was a 1-1 draw away against PEC Zwolle. AZ's form across all competitions is LLWWW. This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 games. AZ is currently on a winning streak of 3 matches.

Statistics

FC Groningen has scored an average of 1.37 goals per game and conceded 1.37 goals this season. At home, they score 1.33 goals and concede 0.93 goals per home game. AZ scores an average of 1.74 goals per game and concedes 1.56 goals. Away from home, AZ scores an average of 1.80 goals and concedes 2.10 goals. At the Euroborg, an average of 2.6 goals per game has been scored in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games. The mathematical analysis predicts over 2.5 goals with a 54% probability and both teams to score with a 59% probability.

Head-to-Head

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ secured 4 wins and FC Groningen 0 wins, with 1 draw. The goal difference is 12:2 in favor of AZ. The last encounter on August 10, 2025, ended in a 4-1 victory for AZ. AZ has been dominant in recent direct encounters.

Key Players

For FC Groningen, Younes Taha (4 goals, 7 assists, Avg Rating 7.06, declining form trend) and Thom van Bergen (7 goals, 3 assists, Avg Rating 6.93, declining form trend) are important offensive players. Tika de Jonge (2 goals, Avg Rating 6.70) shows a rising form trend. For AZ, Troy Parrott (14 goals, 3 assists, Avg Rating 7.24, declining form trend) and Sven Mijnans (7 goals, 5 assists, Avg Rating 7.17, declining form trend) are key players in attack and midfield. Kees Smit (3 goals, 2 assists, Avg Rating 6.96, declining form trend) is also an important midfielder.

Goalkeepers

For FC Groningen, Hidde Jurjus is in goal, having achieved 4 clean sheets in 6 season appearances at home. For AZ, Jeroen Zoet is the goalkeeper. AZ has achieved a total of 6 clean sheets this season, 4 of which were in away games. FC Groningen has a total of 7 clean sheets this season.

Influences

FC Groningen shows moderate home strength with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 0.93 goals conceded per home game. The grass surface at Euroborg should not have any particular influences. The Euroborg stadium has a history of an average of 2.6 total goals per game. In 80% of the last 5 games at Euroborg, both teams scored, and in 80% over 2.5 goals were scored.

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