Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen - SC Heerenveen
03/22/2026, 11:15 AM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.1
1.4
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
NEC Nijmegen
SC Heerenveen
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Key Factors
- NEC Nijmegen's strong league position (3rd place) and high home goal threat (Avg. 2.5 goals per home game), supported by a 44% home win probability
- SC Heerenveen's positive form with four wins from their last five games and a currently increased goal production (Avg. 2.4 goals recently)
- The Goffertstadion as a guarantee for goals, with an average of 4.0 goals per game and 100% Over 2.5 in the last five matches
Risk Factors
- SC Heerenveen's vulnerable away defense, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- NEC Nijmegen's slightly reduced goal production in recent form (Avg. 2.0 goals) compared to their season average (Avg. 2.5 goals)
- Absences of key offensive players for SC Heerenveen due to suspensions (O. Johansen Braude, M. Rivera), reducing assists by 17%
Overview
NEC Nijmegen (3rd place, 49 points) host SC Heerenveen (8th place, 40 points) at the Goffertstadion
Eredivisie match on March 22, 2026, 12:15 PM
NEC Nijmegen aims to consolidate its top league position, while SC Heerenveen seeks to close the gap to European spots
Form
NEC Nijmegen shows a form of DDLWW
This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches
The team has recently achieved two consecutive wins
SC Heerenveen has a form of WLWWW
This means 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five games
SC Heerenveen has recently celebrated three consecutive wins
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
NEC Nijmegen scores an average of 2.48 goals per game and concedes 1.67 goals on average this season
At home, NEC Nijmegen scores an average of 2.5 goals and concedes 1.43 goals
In 22 out of 27 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored, and both teams found the net
SC Heerenveen scores an average of 1.74 goals per game and concedes 1.63 goals on average this season
Away, SC Heerenveen scores an average of 1.82 goals and concedes 2.0 goals
In 20 out of 27 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored, and in 19 matches both teams scored
NEC Nijmegen's goal production is currently stagnating (Avg. 2.0 goals), while the season average is Avg. 2.5 goals
SC Heerenveen is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 2.4 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.7 goals)
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 2 home wins, 2 away wins, and 1 draw
NEC Nijmegen scored 8 goals in these matches, SC Heerenveen scored 5 goals
The last encounter on September 21, 2025, ended in a 2:3 loss for SC Heerenveen
The recent record is even
Key Players
NEC Nijmegen relies on Bryan Linssen with 9 season goals and 7 assists
Tjaronn Chery contributes 7 goals and 6 assists
Kodai Sano is an important assist provider with 3 goals and 7 assists
For SC Heerenveen, Jacob Trenskow is the top scorer with 10 goals and 3 assists
Joris van Overeem provided 2 goals and 6 assists
Dylan Vente scored 6 goals and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
Jasper Cillessen is in goal for NEC Nijmegen
The team has kept 4 clean sheets in home games this season
Bernt Klaverboer guards the goal for SC Heerenveen
SC Heerenveen has achieved 2 clean sheets in away games this season
Influences
The Goffertstadion has seen an average of 4.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 4 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in all 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored
NEC Nijmegen scores an average of 2.5 goals at home and concedes 1.43 goals
SC Heerenveen scores an average of 1.82 goals away and concedes 2.0 goals per game