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Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles - PEC Zwolle

04/05/2026, 10:15 AM

5 : 0
Expected Goals
Go Ahead Eagles
2.0
Total xG
3.2
PEC Zwolle
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

3:1

7%

3:0

6%
What influences the xG?
GAEPZ

Go Ahead Eagles

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.28
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.5 season average)
+0.28
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Richonell Margaret not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)

PEC Zwolle

Attack weakness (0.7x league average)
-0.37
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.12
Shola Shoretire not in squad (5 goals, 1 assists)
Simon Graves on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.4 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

24%

Away Win

20%

Goals

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

80%

Away or Draw

43%

No Draw

76%

Both Score

Yes

60%

No

40%

Key Factors
  • Favorites: Mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 57% probability
  • Offensive strength: Go Ahead Eagles currently score more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.5)
  • Home advantage: Go Ahead Eagles' home offense (avg. 1.65 goals) faces PEC Zwolle's weak away defense (avg. 2.40 goals conceded)
Risk Factors
  • Away weakness: PEC Zwolle concedes an average of 2.40 goals per away game
  • Recent loss: Go Ahead Eagles lost their last match away 0-2
  • Draw tendency: PEC Zwolle drew 4 of their last 5 matches
Overview

Go Ahead Eagles (13th place, 32 points) host PEC Zwolle (12th place, 33 points) in the Eredivisie

The match will take place on April 5, 2026, 12:15 PM at De Adelaarshorst

Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the league table

Form

Go Ahead Eagles show a form of WWLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five matches

Their last game was an away 0-2 loss against FC Utrecht

PEC Zwolle has a form of DDDDW

PEC Zwolle achieved 1 win and 4 draws in their last five matches

In their last game, they won 2-1 at home against NAC Breda

Statistics

Go Ahead Eagles average 1.61 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded per game

At home, they score an average of 1.65 goals and concede 1.18 goals

PEC Zwolle averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.89 goals conceded per game

Away from home, PEC Zwolle scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 2.40 goals

The last five matches at De Adelaarshorst saw an average of 4.2 total goals

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and 4 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

In 5 head-to-head matches, there has been 1 home win and 4 draws

Go Ahead Eagles scored a total of 7 goals, PEC Zwolle 5 goals

The last encounter on September 21, 2025, ended with a 2-0 victory for Go Ahead Eagles

Key Players

For Go Ahead Eagles, Mathis Suray is a key player this season with 10 goals and 2 assists

Jakob Breum contributed with 6 goals and 4 assists, scoring 5 goals in his last 5 games and showing rising form

Melle Meulensteen provided 5 goals and 1 assist, also with rising form

For PEC Zwolle, Koen Kostons is the top scorer with 11 goals and 6 assists, but shows declining form

Kaj de Rooij has 6 goals and 5 assists, also with declining form

Younes Namli has 2 goals and 4 assists

Goalkeepers

Jari De Busser of Go Ahead Eagles had 6 clean sheets in 28 appearances this season

Tom de Graaff of PEC Zwolle recorded 5 clean sheets in 26 appearances

Influences

Go Ahead Eagles show a stronger offense at home with an average of 1.65 goals scored

At the same time, they concede fewer goals at home (1.18) than away (2.27)

De Adelaarshorst averaged 4.2 goals per game in the last five matches, with 4 out of 5 games having over 2.5 goals

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