Eredivisie
Telstar - FC Groningen
04/04/2026, 04:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.0
1.7
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Telstar
FC Groningen
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
31%
Draw
27%
Away Win
42%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
58%
Away or Draw
69%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Analysis: FC Groningen has a higher win probability of 42%
- Telstar's improved offense: Currently averaging 2.2 goals per game, significantly more than the season average of 1.4 goals
- FC Groningen's attacking strength: Averaging 2.0 goals in recent matches and 5.8 shots on target
Risk Factors
- FC Groningen's away defense: Concedes an average of 1.92 goals per away game
- Historical record: Telstar lost the only head-to-head match against FC Groningen
Overview
Telstar (14th place, 27 points) host FC Groningen (10th place, 38 points) at BUKO Stadion
Eredivisie match on April 4, 2026, 6:45 PM
FC Groningen is considered a slight favorite by the mathematical analysis with a 42% win probability
Form
Telstar's form in the last five matches is LWWLW
This includes 3 wins and 2 losses
FC Groningen's recent form is LLWDW
This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five fixtures
Telstar's offense shows positive form recently, averaging 2.2 goals compared to a season average of 1.4
FC Groningen also exhibits a positive trend in recent goal scoring, with 2.0 goals on average compared to 1.5 season goals
Statistics
Telstar averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded
FC Groningen has a season average of 1.43 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded
Away from home, FC Groningen averages 1.42 goals scored and 1.92 goals conceded
Telstar had both teams scoring in 18 matches, while FC Groningen had it in 15 matches
The BUKO Stadion has seen an average of 3.0 total goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 matches at BUKO Stadion
The pipeline analysis predicts a 62% probability for both teams to score
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams
FC Groningen won this single encounter
Telstar scored 0 goals, while FC Groningen scored 2 goals
The last meeting on September 20, 2025, ended in a 2:0 victory for FC Groningen
Key Players
For Telstar, Patrick Brouwer, Jeff Hardeveld, and Sem van Duijn are key players
Patrick Brouwer scored 7 goals and 4 assists this season, contributing 4 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.73
Jeff Hardeveld contributed 4 goals and 6 assists this season, with 2 assists in his last 5 games and a rating of 7.58
Sem van Duijn has 2 goals and 2 assists this season, and 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games
For FC Groningen, Thom van Bergen, Younes Taha, and Marvin Peersman are notable
Thom van Bergen scored 8 goals and 3 assists this season, including 4 goals in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.14
Younes Taha provided 4 goals and 7 assists this season, with 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games
Marvin Peersman recorded 3 goals and 1 assist this season, with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Telstar's goalkeeper, Ronald Koeman Jr., played 27 season games and kept 4 clean sheets
For FC Groningen, Etienne Vaessen was in goal for 23 season games and achieved 8 clean sheets
Influences
The match will take place at BUKO Stadion on artificial turf
Telstar's record on artificial turf is 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with 16:17 goals in 10 games
FC Groningen's record on artificial turf is 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses with 5:6 goals in 4 games
BUKO Stadion has shown an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches