Eredivisie
FC Twente - FC Volendam
04/10/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
2.7
0.7
2:0
14%1:1
11%2:1
9%3:0
9%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
FC Twente
FC Volendam
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
67%
Draw
23%
Away Win
11%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
89%
Away or Draw
33%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- FC Twente is the clear favorite for a home win with a 67% probability according to the mathematical analysis
- The home team is in strong form with 4 wins from their last 5 games, contrasting with Volendam's single win
- FC Volendam's away defense is extremely vulnerable, conceding an average of 4.14 goals per game
Risk Factors
- FC Volendam conceded an average of 4.14 goals per away game
- Tactical analysis indicates that FC Volendam averaged only 3.8 shots on target in their last 5 matches
Overview
FC Twente (4th place, 50 points) host FC Volendam (14th place, 28 points) at De Grolsch Veste
Eredivisie match on April 10, 2026, 8:00 PM
Twente are fighting for international qualification spots, while Volendam are battling against relegation
Form
FC Twente's form in the last five matches is WWLWW
This translates to 4 wins and 1 loss
The team has won their last two games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
FC Volendam shows a form of WLLLD in their last five matches
This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Their last game ended in a draw
Statistics
FC Twente scores an average of 1.69 goals per game and concedes 1.07 goals
At home, they score 1.69 goals and concede 1.08 goals
Twente kept 7 clean sheets this season
FC Volendam averages 1.03 goals scored per game and concedes 1.66 goals
Their away defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding 4.14 goals per away game
Volendam kept 2 clean sheets
FC Twente is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.8)
Matches at De Grolsch Veste had an average of 2.4 total goals
Both teams scored in 1 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches
Head-to-Head
In 3 previous head-to-head encounters, FC Twente dominated with 2 wins, while there was 1 draw
FC Volendam failed to win any of these matches
The goal difference is 10:3 in favor of FC Twente
The last match on November 22, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
Key Players
For FC Twente, Sam Lammers (5 goals, 5 assists, avg rating 7.09), Kristian Hlynsson (8 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.04), and Bart van Rooij (3 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 7.24) are key players
Sam Lammers shows rising form with 2 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games
Kristian Hlynsson is stable with 1 goal, and Bart van Rooij is rising with 1 goal and 1 assist
Not nominated for FC Twente is Daan Rots (8 goals/3 assists)
For FC Volendam, Brandley Kuwas (5 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 6.80), Robin van Cruijsen (4 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 6.81), and Aurelio Oehlers (4 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.61) are important figures
Brandley Kuwas scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, Aurelio Oehlers also scored 1 goal
Not nominated for FC Volendam is Dave Kwakman (0 goals/4 assists)
Goalkeepers
Lars Unnerstall, goalkeeper for FC Twente, has achieved 7 clean sheets this season
For FC Volendam, goalkeeper Kayne van Oevelen has kept 2 clean sheets
Influences
FC Twente has scored 22 goals and conceded 14 at home, indicating a solid home performance
FC Volendam has scored only 7 goals and conceded 29 away, pointing to significant away weakness
De Grolsch Veste stadium recorded an average of 2.4 goals per game
The match will be played on a grass surface