Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda
04/12/2026, 10:15 AM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.8
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Fortuna Sittard
NAC Breda
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
38%
Draw
28%
Away Win
34%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
66%
Away or Draw
62%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- NAC Breda's weak away defense with an average of 2.64 goals conceded per game
- Home team Fortuna Sittard scores an average of 1.44 goals per game at their own stadium
- Fortuna Sittard Stadion shows a high average of 3.6 goals in the last 5 games, with both teams always scoring
Risk Factors
- NAC Breda recorded an average of only 3.4 shots on target in the last 5 games
- NAC Breda concedes an average of 2.64 goals per away game
Overview
Fortuna Sittard (12th place, 35 points) host NAC Breda (17th place, 24 points) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Eredivisie match on April 12, 2026, 12:15 PM
Fortuna Sittard aims to consolidate its position in the table
NAC Breda is fighting for survival and occupies a relegation playoff spot
Form
Fortuna Sittard shows inconsistent performance in the last five games with a form of "WLWLL"
This includes 2 wins and 3 losses
The last result was a loss
NAC Breda is winless in their last five games, with a form of "LDLLD"
This includes 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
The last result was a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Fortuna Sittard averages 1.48 goals scored per game and concedes 1.86 goals
NAC Breda averages 1.00 goals scored per game and concedes 1.72 goals
In home games, Fortuna Sittard averages 1.44 goals scored and concedes 1.50 goals
NAC Breda concedes an average of 2.64 goals in away games
The Fortuna Sittard Stadion has seen an average of 3.6 goals per match in the last 5 games
In these 5 games, both teams always scored (BTTS 100%) and there were always over 2.5 goals (Over 2.5 100%)
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard secured 1 win and NAC Breda won 2 times
The goal difference is 2:3 in favor of NAC Breda
The last encounter was won by NAC Breda on August 17, 2025, with a score of 2:1
NAC Breda has been dominant in recent meetings
Key Players
For Fortuna Sittard, Kaj Sierhuis (10 goals, 0 assists), Dimitrios Limnios (2 goals, 4 assists), and Lance Duijvestijn (2 goals, 2 assists) are key attacking players
Kaj Sierhuis scored 2 goals in the last 5 games
Dimitrios Limnios showed a rising form trend with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Fortuna Sittard will be without Mohamed Ihattaren (6 goals, 10 assists), Paul Gladon (5 goals, 2 assists), and Ivo Pinto (0 goals, 5 assists), reducing the usual starting XI strength to 79%
For NAC Breda, Boy Kemper (3 goals, 3 assists), Lewis Holtby (1 goal, 5 assists), and Kamal Sowah (1 goal, 1 assist) are noteworthy
Kamal Sowah scored 1 goal in his last 4 appearances
NAC Breda will be without Charles-Andreas Brym (2 goals, 4 assists) and Mohamed Nassoh (4 goals, 1 assist), but the usual starting XI strength remains at 100%
Goalkeepers
Fortuna Sittard has Luuk Koopmans in goal with 8 season appearances
NAC Breda starts with Daniel Bielica, who played in 28 games and recorded 5 clean sheets
Daniel Bielica's form trend is declining, with an average rating of 6.32 in the last 5 games
Influences
Fortuna Sittard Stadion is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals in the last five matches
In all these games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals
Fortuna Sittard scores 1.44 goals per home game, and NAC Breda concedes an average of 2.64 goals per away game
The mathematical analysis indicates a 38% probability for a home win