Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen - Feyenoord
04/12/2026, 12:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
30%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a narrow home win with a 37% probability
- Home Offense and Venue Character: NEC Nijmegen is offensively strong at home (avg 2.47 goals), and the Goffertstadion favors high-scoring matches (avg 4.2 goals per game)
- Form Trend: NEC Nijmegen's current form is stable (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Feyenoord shows a negative trend (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)
Risk Factors
- Reduced Offensive Power for Feyenoord: Jordan Bos (3 goals, 7 assists) is not in the starting lineup, leaving only 87% of the usual starting XI goal threat available
- Tight Pipeline Predictions: The mathematical model shows a very close starting position with small differences in win probabilities (NEC 37%, Draw 30%, Feyenoord 33%)
- Negative Form Trend for Feyenoord: Goal production is stagnating (avg 1.5 goals recently) compared to the season average (avg 2.0 goals)
Overview
NEC Nijmegen (3rd place, 53 points) host Feyenoord (2nd place, 54 points) at Goffertstadion. This Eredivisie match takes place on April 12, 2026, 2:30 PM. It's a direct encounter in the fight for top league positions
Form
NEC Nijmegen's recent form is LWWDW, which means 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. NEC recently won 2-0 away against Excelsior
Feyenoord's form is LDWDD, representing 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Their last game was a 0-0 away draw against FC Volendam
Statistics
NEC Nijmegen has scored an average of 2.45 goals per game this season and conceded 1.62 goals. At home, they averaged 2.47 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded
Feyenoord averaged 2.10 goals per game and allowed 1.38 goals. Away from home, they averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.58 goals conceded
The Goffertstadion has seen an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games (80%), and over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 games (100%)
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches between these two teams, NEC Nijmegen secured 1 win and Feyenoord also secured 1 win. 3 matches ended in a draw
NEC Nijmegen scored 9 goals in these encounters, while Feyenoord scored 8 goals
The last meeting on November 23, 2025, resulted in a 4-2 away win for NEC Nijmegen
Recent direct duels indicate an even balance of power
Key Players
For NEC Nijmegen, Bryan Linssen is a key player with 10 goals and 7 assists in 27 season appearances. His form is stable with 4 goals in the last 5 matches
Tjaronn Chery (9 goals, 6 assists in 28 appearances) shows a rising form with 3 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games
Başar Önal contributed 7 goals and 6 assists in 26 appearances, and his form is stable
Goalkeepers
NEC Nijmegen's goalkeeper, Gonzalo Crettaz, has played 26 season games. The home team has kept 5 clean sheets so far
Timon Wellenreuther is Feyenoord's goalkeeper with 28 appearances this season. Feyenoord has recorded 9 clean sheets
Influences
NEC Nijmegen's home strength is supported by an average of 2.47 home goals scored
The Goffertstadion is known for high-scoring games with an average of 4.2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 100%