Eredivisie
FC Groningen - Go Ahead Eagles
04/11/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.1
1.1
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%3:0
6%What influences the xG?
FC Groningen
Go Ahead Eagles
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
55%
Draw
25%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
45%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for FC Groningen with a 55% probability and 1.95 expected goals
- Both teams show positive offensive development, with FC Groningen currently scoring more frequently (2.2) than their season average (1.5) and Go Ahead Eagles also (2.6 vs. 1.6)
- The Euroborg venue is known for its high goal count, with an average of 3.2 goals per game and 100% Over 2.5 in the last five matches
Risk Factors
- Go Ahead Eagles concede an average of 2.5 goals per away game
- FC Groningen has not yet managed a win against Go Ahead Eagles in three direct encounters (2 losses, 1 draw)
Overview
FC Groningen (10th place, 41 points) host Go Ahead Eagles (11th place, 35 points) at Euroborg. The Eredivisie match takes place on April 11, 2026, 8:00 PM. The mathematical analysis sees FC Groningen as favorites with a 55% home win probability
Form
FC Groningen shows a positive trend with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games (LWDWW), including two recent victories. Go Ahead Eagles also recorded three wins and two losses (WLWLW) in their last five matches, winning their most recent game after a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
FC Groningen scores an average of 1.45 goals and concedes 1.28 goals per game. At home, they score 1.44 goals and concede only 0.88 goals on average. Go Ahead Eagles are offensively stronger with 1.72 goals per game but concede 1.55 goals. The Eagles' away defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding 2.5 goals per match. 15 of FC Groningen's games and 17 of Go Ahead Eagles' games ended with both teams scoring. At the Euroborg venue, an average of 3.2 goals per game are scored, and all 5 recent matches had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In three direct encounters, FC Groningen has not yet secured a win against Go Ahead Eagles. The record shows two away wins for Go Ahead Eagles and one draw. The last meeting on December 21, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw. Go Ahead Eagles has had the upper hand in recent matches
Key Players
For FC Groningen, Thom van Bergen (8 goals, 4 assists) stands out, recently with 4 goals and 1 assist. Younes Taha (4 goals, 7 assists) provided 3 assists in the last five games. Defender Dies Janse (2 goals, 1 assist) recently showed rising form. Go Ahead Eagles rely on Mathis Suray (11 goals, 2 assists), recently with 2 goals and 1 assist. Jakob Breum (6 goals, 5 assists) showed rising form with 4 goals and 1 assist. Victor Edvardsen (3 goals, 5 assists) recently contributed 1 goal and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Etienne Vaessen of FC Groningen recorded 9 clean sheets in 24 seasonal appearances. Jari De Busser of Go Ahead Eagles played in 29 games and achieved 7 clean sheets
Influences
FC Groningen's home advantage is evident in an average of 1.44 home goals scored and only 0.88 goals conceded per home game. The Euroborg is known for high-scoring encounters, with an average of 3.2 goals per game in the last five matches and 100% Over 2.5