Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach - VfB Stuttgart
01/25/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.5
2.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
22%
Draw
26%
Away Win
52%
Goals
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
48%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
48%
Away or Draw
78%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Stuttgart's strong away offense (1.82 goals per game) meets Gladbach's vulnerable home defense (1.89 goals conceded per game)
- The form curves point in opposite directions: Stuttgart is stable (DWWDL), while Gladbach shows a negative trend (LLWLD)
- Stuttgart's attack shows improved performance (recentXgAvg 2.33), while Gladbach's defense has recently conceded more goals (recentGoalsConcededAvg 2.5)
Risk Factors
- VfB Stuttgart has a short recovery time of only 3 days since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- The stadium is known for high-scoring games (3.0 goals on average), which can make the outcome less predictable
Overview
Borussia Mönchengladbach, in 11th place with 20 points, hosts VfB Stuttgart, who are in 5th place with 33 points
The Bundesliga match takes place on January 25, 2026, at 3:30 PM at Stadion im Borussia-Park
Stuttgart aims to solidify a European spot, while Gladbach looks to maintain their mid-table position
Form
Borussia Mönchengladbach: LLWLD
1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last five matches
VfB Stuttgart: DWWDL
2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last five matches
Stuttgart is in significantly better form than the home team
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Stuttgart's offense, with an average of 1.83 goals per game, is considerably more dangerous than Gladbach's at 1.28
Defensively, Gladbach concedes an average of 1.61 goals, whereas Stuttgart concedes only 1.44
Gladbach's home weakness (1.33 goals scored vs 1.89 conceded) contrasts with Stuttgart's away strength (1.82 goals scored vs 1.36 conceded)
Both teams scored in 11 of VfB Stuttgart's 18 matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, VfB Stuttgart has the upper hand with 3 wins, while Borussia Mönchengladbach won 2 times
The goal difference is 10:6 in favor of Stuttgart
The last match ended in a 1-0 victory for Stuttgart
Stuttgart is rated as the more dominant team recently
Key Players
Haris Tabakovic is Borussia Mönchengladbach's top scorer with 9 season goals
Franck Honorat has provided 4 assists
For VfB Stuttgart, Deniz Undav has already scored 10 goals this season
Jamie Leweling has contributed 3 goals and 5 assists
Goalkeepers
Moritz Nicolas of Borussia Mönchengladbach has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Alexander Nübel of VfB Stuttgart has kept 6 clean sheets
Influences
At Stadion im Borussia-Park, games average 3.0 goals, and 80% of recent matches have had over 2.5 goals
Gladbach has scored only 12 goals in 9 home games while conceding 17
Stuttgart is very dangerous away from home, with 20 goals in 11 matches