Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen - Telstar
05/02/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.5
3.7
1.2
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
6%2:2
6%4:1
5%What influences the xG?
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
League
The Lab
- 1Telstar with Devon Koswal: 4.6 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Telstar: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 3NEC Nijmegen with Youssef El Kachati: 7.3 goals/90 min. Without: 1.7 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 4NEC Nijmegen: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
64%
Draw
20%
Away Win
16%
Goals
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
84%
Away or Draw
36%
No Draw
80%
Both Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Key Factors
- NEC Nijmegen is the favorite for a home win with 64% according to mathematical analysis
- NEC Nijmegen (3rd place) significantly outperforms Telstar (16th place) in the league standings
- NEC Nijmegen's home offense (2.38 goals/game) faces Telstar's vulnerable away defense (2.27 goals conceded/game)
Risk Factors
- NEC Nijmegen's goal production is currently stagnating (1.8 goals), while the season average is 2.4 goals
- Telstar shows a positive form trend in recent matches, currently scoring more frequently (1.6) than their season average (1.4)
Overview
NEC Nijmegen (3rd place, 55 points) hosts Telstar (16th place, 30 points) at Goffertstadion
Eredivisie match on May 2, 2026, 9:00 PM
NEC is fighting for a top position in the league
Telstar is in the relegation zone and needs points
Form
NEC Nijmegen shows good form with WDWDD
The team achieved 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games
Telstar's current form is LWLLW
They recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
NEC Nijmegen scores an average of 2.38 goals per home game
The home team concedes an average of 1.44 goals
Telstar scores an average of 1.36 goals per away game
Telstar concedes an average of 2.27 goals per away match
At Goffertstadion, an average of 3.6 goals are scored per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games at Goffertstadion
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games at Goffertstadion
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between NEC Nijmegen and Telstar so far
The only encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on December 13, 2025
The historical balance is even
Key Players
For NEC Nijmegen, Bryan Linssen is a key attacker with 11 goals and 7 assists, scoring 4 goals in the last 5 games
Tjaronn Chery is a central figure in midfield with 9 goals and 6 assists, scoring 2 times in the last 5 games
Sami Ouaissa provided 6 goals and 5 assists this season, assisting 3 goals in the last 5 games and his form is rising
For Telstar, Sem van Duijn is a key attacking player with 4 goals and 2 assists, scoring 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games and his form is rising
Patrick Brouwer contributed 7 goals and 5 assists, scoring 1 goal and assisting 2 goals in the last 5 games
Jeff Hardeveld recorded 5 goals and 6 assists, scoring 1 goal in the last 5 games
Goalkeepers
NEC Nijmegen's goalkeeper Gonzalo Crettaz had 5 clean sheets in 28 appearances
Telstar's goalkeeper Ronald Koeman Jr. achieved 4 clean sheets in 30 appearances
Influences
NEC Nijmegen has a home advantage with an average of 2.38 home goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded
Telstar is vulnerable away with 2.27 goals conceded per game
The playing surface is grass
Matches at Goffertstadion tend to be high-scoring with 3.6 goals per game
Both teams score in 80% of games at Goffertstadion
Over 2.5 goals are scored in 80% of games at Goffertstadion