Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard - Feyenoord
05/03/2026, 12:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.7
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
League
The Lab
- 1Feyenoord with Tobias van den Elshout: 6.2 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Fortuna Sittard with Mohamed Ihattaren: 2.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Fortuna Sittard: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Fortuna Sittard: 69% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
26%
Draw
28%
Away Win
46%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
54%
Away or Draw
74%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Feyenoord is the favourite according to mathematical analysis with a 46% win probability and 1.57 expected goals
- Current form favours Feyenoord, who are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws), while Fortuna Sittard suffered 3 losses
- Feyenoord dominated the last 5 head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 2 draws, with a goal difference of 6:1
Risk Factors
- Fortuna Sittard's goal production is stagnant (average 1.0 goals recently) compared to their season average of 1.45 goals (advancedStats.home.recentFormGoalsAvg)
- Feyenoord's goal production is stagnant (average 1.75 goals recently) compared to their season average of 2.0 goals, and they recorded 3 draws in their last 5 games (advancedStats.away.recentFormGoalsAvg, awayFormSummary.draws)
- The Fortuna Sittard Stadion shows a tendency for high-scoring games (average 3.4 goals/game) and both teams often score (5/5 BTTS) (venueStats.avgTotalGoals, venueStats.bttsCount)
Overview
Fortuna Sittard (12th place, 36 points) host Feyenoord (2nd place, 58 points) at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion. The Eredivisie match takes place on May 3, 2026, 2:30 PM. Feyenoord aims to consolidate its position in the top group, while Fortuna Sittard is in the mid-table.
Form
Fortuna Sittard's form in the last five games (WLLDL) shows a negative trend with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their last match ended in a loss. Feyenoord is unbeaten in their last five matches (WDDDW) with 2 wins and 3 draws. Feyenoord won their last encounter. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Fortuna Sittard scores an average of 1.41 goals and concedes 1.47 goals in home games. Feyenoord shows strong offensive performance away with an average of 2.08 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded. Overall, Fortuna Sittard has 3 clean sheets this season, while Feyenoord has 9. The Fortuna Sittard Stadion has seen an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches. In these games, both teams scored in 5 out of 5 instances, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord dominated with 3 wins to Fortuna Sittard's 0, with 2 draws. The goal difference is 6:1 in favour of Feyenoord. The last encounter on September 17, 2025, saw Feyenoord win away with a 2-0 score.
Key Players
For Fortuna Sittard, Mohamed Ihattaren (6 goals, 10 assists, average rating 7.26), Kaj Sierhuis (10 goals, 0 assists, average rating 7.04), and the in-form Dimitrios Limnios (2 goals, 5 assists, rising form trend) are key offensive players. For Feyenoord, Ayase Ueda (25 goals, 1 assist, average rating 7.41), Anis Hadj Moussa (8 goals, 6 assists, average rating 7.26), and Jordan Bos (4 goals, 7 assists, average rating 7.17) stand out.
Goalkeepers
Fortuna Sittard with Mattijs Branderhorst recorded 3 clean sheets this season. Feyenoord with Timon Wellenreuther showed a stronger defensive performance with 9 clean sheets.
Influences
The Fortuna Sittard Stadion is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match and 100% BTTS in the last five games. Fortuna Sittard averages 1.41 goals scored at home and concedes 1.47 goals. Feyenoord averages 2.08 goals scored away and concedes 1.54 goals.