Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Werder Bremen
01/24/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.1
3.2
1.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
61%
Draw
22%
Away Win
17%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
83%
Away or Draw
39%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- Leverkusen's strong home record (1.9 goals per game) meets Bremen's weak away defense (2.38 goals conceded per game)
- Both teams are plagued by injuries, but the absences in Bremen's defense (Stark, Agu, Sugawara) are particularly significant
- Despite Leverkusen's recent losing streak, their overall season performance and home strength are a decisive advantage against a Bremen team in poor form
Risk Factors
- Leverkusen's negative trend with three consecutive losses could affect their confidence
- The high number of key injuries on both sides, especially the absence of Leverkusen's first-choice goalkeeper Flekken, increases the unpredictability of the match
Overview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen, in 6th place with 29 points, hosts Werder Bremen, who are in 14th place with 18 points
The Bundesliga match will take place on January 24, 2026, at 3:30 PM at the BayArena
Leverkusen is fighting to secure a European spot, while Bremen is collecting important points in the relegation battle
Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWLLL - 2 wins and 3 losses in the last five games, currently on a streak of 3 consecutive losses
Werder Bremen: LLDLD - winless in five games with 2 draws and 3 losses
Both teams are in a difficult phase, with Bremen's form being more concerning
Statistics
Leverkusen's offense, with an average of 2.0 goals per game, is significantly stronger than Bremen's at 1.24
Leverkusen is particularly strong at home, scoring an average of 1.9 goals while conceding only 1.0
Bremen's defense is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.38 goals
At the BayArena, an average of 4.0 goals are scored per game, and 80% of matches have seen over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, there were 2 wins for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 1 win for Werder Bremen, and 2 draws
The goal difference is 13:7 in favor of Leverkusen
The last meeting ended in a 3-3 draw
Key Players
For Leverkusen, Patrik Schick with 6 season goals and Alejandro Grimaldo with 5 goals and 4 assists are the key offensive players
For Bremen, midfielder Jens Stage is the top scorer with 6 goals
Romano Schmid is the most important provider for the visitors with 5 assists
Goalkeepers
Leverkusen's first-choice goalkeeper Mark Flekken is injured; Janis Blaswich will replace him
Bremen's goal will be kept by Mio Backhaus, who has made 15 appearances this season
Both clubs have kept 4 clean sheets this season
Influences
The BayArena is a clear advantage for Leverkusen, where they average 1.9 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded
The venue's statistics show a tendency for high-scoring games with an average of 4.0 goals per match
On a natural grass surface, Leverkusen has a better record than Bremen