Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
01/31/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
3.2
2.0
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
20%
Draw
23%
Away Win
57%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
43%
Away or Draw
80%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Historical Dominance: Leverkusen has won the last five head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 17:4
- Contrasting Form: Frankfurt has lost their last two games, while Leverkusen arrives with two consecutive wins
- Frankfurt's Defensive Vulnerability: The home team concedes an average of 2.21 goals per game this season, which favors Leverkusen's attack
Risk Factors
- Fatigue: Both teams have had only a three-day break since their last match, which could lead to errors
- Frankfurt's Home Goals: Despite poor form, Frankfurt consistently scores at home (averaging 2.0 goals per game)
- Goalkeeper Change for Leverkusen: The absence of first-choice keeper Flekken could weaken the visitors' defense
Overview
Eintracht Frankfurt, in 8th place with 27 points, hosts Bayer 04 Leverkusen, who are in 6th place with 32 points. The Bundesliga match will take place on January 31, 2026, at 3:30 PM at Deutsche Bank Park. This is a key clash in the race for European spots, with the visitors looking to extend their lead.
Form
Eintracht Frankfurt: LDLLL - 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in the last five games. However, their last two matches were lost (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss).
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: LLLWW - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in the last five games. They have won their last two matches, showing improving form.
Statistics
Eintracht Frankfurt scores an average of 2.05 goals per game this season and concedes 2.21. Their home strength is reflected in an average of 2.0 goals scored per game, with 1.88 conceded. Bayer 04 Leverkusen has a scoring average of 1.94 and concedes an average of 1.39 goals. Away from home, Leverkusen scores an average of 1.88 goals and concedes just as many. Both teams scored in 14 of Frankfurt's 19 games, and in 10 of Leverkusen's 18.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Eintracht Frankfurt has not won a single game, while Bayer 04 Leverkusen won all five. The goal difference from these matches is 4:17 in favor of Leverkusen. The last meeting ended in a 3-1 victory for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, highlighting the clear dominance of the visitors in recent history.
Key Players
For Eintracht Frankfurt, Can Uzun with 6 season goals and 5 assists, and Ritsu Doan with 4 goals and 5 assists are crucial in attack. Farès Chaïbi has proven to be a key creator with 7 assists.
For Bayer 04 Leverkusen, defender Alejandro Grimaldo is extremely dangerous with 5 goals and 4 assists. In attack, Patrik Schick with 6 goals and Malik Tillman with 3 goals are the main threats.
Goalkeepers
Kauã Santos is in goal for Eintracht Frankfurt, having played in 8 matches this season. For Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Janis Blaswich will replace the injured Mark Flekken. Frankfurt has kept 3 clean sheets this season, while Leverkusen has managed 5.
Influences
Deutsche Bank Park is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.0 goals in the last five matches. Both teams scored in 60% of these games. Frankfurt's record on natural grass this season is poor, with only one win in ten matches. Leverkusen has won four of ten games on the same surface.