Bundesliga
Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach
01/31/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.7
1.5
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
31%
Draw
34%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
28%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
69%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Both teams are in a form crisis, and their recent goal output is below their season average, suggesting a hard-fought match
- Werder Bremen's defense is one of the league's weakest, conceding 1.94 goals per game, which could create opportunities for Mönchengladbach
- Gladbach's goalkeeper Moritz Nicolas has twice as many clean sheets (8) as his counterpart Mio Backhaus, which could be decisive in a tight game
Risk Factors
- The offense of both teams is stuttering, as the data shows, making an outcome of over 2.5 goals unlikely despite vulnerable defenses
- The poor form of both teams increases the unpredictability of the result, as any mistake could decide the game
Overview
A clash in the bottom third of the Bundesliga table is set as Werder Bremen (15th place, 18 points) faces Borussia Mönchengladbach (11th place, 20 points). The match will take place on January 31, 2026, at 3:30 PM at the Wohninvest Weserstadion. Both teams are seeking crucial points to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Form
Werder Bremen: DLDLL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches)
Borussia Mönchengladbach: LWLDL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses in the last 5 matches)
Both teams are in poor form, with Bremen winless in five games, while Gladbach has won only one of their last five. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, both teams are nearly identical with 1.17 (Bremen) and 1.21 (Gladbach) goals per game
Defensively, Bremen is more vulnerable with an average of 1.94 goals conceded per game compared to Mönchengladbach's 1.68
In home games, Bremen scores an average of 1.22 goals and concedes 1.67
In 11 of Bremen's 18 matches, there have been over 2.5 goals
The average number of goals at the Wohninvest Weserstadion is 3.4 per game, and both teams scored in 60% of the matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, Werder Bremen won 1 time, Borussia Mönchengladbach was successful 2 times, and 2 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference from Bremen's perspective is 11:12
The last meeting on September 14, 2025, was won 4-0 by Werder Bremen away from home
Key Players
For Werder Bremen, Jens Stage with 6 season goals, Romano Schmid as a provider with 5 assists, and Justin Njinmah with 4 goals are key players
For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Haris Tabakovic stands out as the top scorer with 9 season goals, supported by Franck Honorat with 4 assists and Luca Netz with 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Mio Backhaus is in goal for Werder Bremen and has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Moritz Nicolas of Borussia Mönchengladbach has already kept 8 clean sheets this season
Influences
The Wohninvest Weserstadion is a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match and a 60% rate for 'Both teams to score'
Bremen's home record on natural grass is weak, with only one win, three draws, and six losses
Borussia Mönchengladbach has a balanced record on natural grass with four wins, two draws, and four losses