Bundesliga
FC Augsburg - St. Pauli
01/31/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.5
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
31%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
25%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Relegation battle duel: Both teams are under pressure and urgently need points, which could lead to a hard-fought match
- Low-scoring venue: The WWK Arena shows a clear trend towards few goals, with only 1.8 goals per game in recent matches
- St. Pauli's improved offense: According to statistics, the visitors have been scoring more frequently than their season average and could challenge Augsburg's vulnerable defense
Risk Factors
- Injury concerns for Augsburg: The home team is dealing with numerous absences in defense and midfield
- St. Pauli's poor away record: The visitors have won only one of their last ten away games on grass
- Potential fatigue for St. Pauli: The team had only 4 days of rest since their last match, while Augsburg had 7
Overview
FC Augsburg (13th place, 19 points) host St. Pauli (17th place, 14 points) at the WWK Arena
Bundesliga match on January 31, 2026, 3:30 PM
A crucial duel in the relegation battle for both teams
Form
FC Augsburg: DLDDW - 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 matches
St. Pauli: DLLDD - No wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
St. Pauli is winless in 5 games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Augsburg scores an average of 1.16 goals per game, while St. Pauli averages 0.89
Defensively, Augsburg concedes an average of 1.89 goals per game, with St. Pauli at 1.72
At home, Augsburg scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 1.8
St. Pauli averages 0.89 goals and concedes 1.78 goals away from home
In the last five matches at the WWK Arena, the average was only 1.8 goals
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head encounters, the record is completely balanced with one win each and one draw
The goal difference is narrowly in favor of FC Augsburg at 5:4
The last meeting was won by St. Pauli with a score of 2:1
Key Players
Alexis Claude-Maurice has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games for Augsburg and is showing rising form
Han-Noah Massengo was successful with one goal in the last match
For St. Pauli, Martijn Kaars is in good form with 3 goals in his last 5 games
Eric Smith has been directly involved in 3 goals in his last 5 appearances (1 goal, 2 assists)
Goalkeepers
Finn Dahmen of FC Augsburg has kept 3 clean sheets in 19 season matches
Nikola Vasilj of St. Pauli has also kept 3 clean sheets in 18 season matches
Influences
Matches at the WWK Arena tend to be low-scoring, with an average of 1.8 goals in the last 5 games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in only 20% of the last 5 home matches
Augsburg has a home record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses on grass
St. Pauli has won only 1 of 10 away games on grass