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Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim
02/01/2026, 04:30 PM
3 : 2
Expected Goals
Borussia Dortmund
1.7
Total xG
2.9
Heidenheim
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
62%
Draw
23%
Away Win
15%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
41%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
85%
Away or Draw
38%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- Difference in class: Second-placed Dortmund with a strong home record (1.9 goals per game) meets bottom-of-the-table Heidenheim with the weakest away defense (2.5 goals conceded per game)
- Form discrepancy: Dortmund has won 3 of their last 5 games, while Heidenheim is winless in 5, suffering 3 defeats in the process
- Historical superiority: Dortmund is unbeaten in 5 head-to-head encounters (3 wins, 2 draws) with a goal difference of 10:5
Risk Factors
- Declining offense: According to advanced stats, Dortmund's goal output has recently dropped from 2.1 to 1.8 goals per game
- Home vulnerability: Despite being favorites, Dortmund lost their last home game 0-2 to Inter, indicating some vulnerability
Overview
Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 42 points) hosts Heidenheim (18th place, 13 points) at Signal Iduna Park
Form
Bundesliga match on February 1, 2026, 5:30 PM
Statistics
Borussia Dortmund: WWLWL - 3 wins, 2 losses from the last 5 games
Head-to-Head
A clear duel between a title contender and a relegation candidate
Key Players
Heidenheim: LDLDL - 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses from the last 5 games
Goalkeepers
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Influences
Heidenheim has never won against Dortmund