Admiral Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC - Grazer AK
02/08/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.1
1.0
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
35%
Away Win
36%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
18%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
64%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
65%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Wolfsberg's weakened offense: With top scorers like Markus Pink sidelined, only 52% of their usual goal-scoring threat is on the pitch, significantly reducing their firepower
- Graz's catastrophic away defense: Grazer AK concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game, which should create opportunities even for a weakened Wolfsberg attack
- A clash of opposites: Wolfsberg's historical H2H dominance meets Grazer AK's currently better form, making the prediction difficult and the match unpredictable
Risk Factors
- Lack of goal threat for Wolfsberg: The biggest risk for a bet on the home team is the massive loss of quality in attack, making their chance conversion unpredictable
- Graz's unreliability away from home: Despite the opponent's weakness, Grazer AK's extremely poor away record remains a high risk for anyone betting on them
Overview
Wolfsberger AC (8th place, 24 points) hosts Grazer AK (11th place, 15 points) at the Lavanttal Arena
This is an Admiral Bundesliga match on February 8, 2026, 2:30 PM
For Wolfsberg, it's about staying connected to the upper mid-table, while Graz is fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle
Form
Wolfsberger AC: LLLWL
1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 matches
Grazer AK: LWWLL
2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
The form curve slightly favors Grazer AK, who have won two of their last five games, while Wolfsberg is going through a difficult phase
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Offensively, Wolfsberger AC scores an average of 1.47 goals per game, while Grazer AK scores 1.0
Defensively, Wolfsberg is more stable, conceding an average of 1.24 goals, compared to 1.71 for Grazer AK
Particularly striking is Grazer AK's weakness away from home, having conceded 15 goals in 5 away matches (an average of 3.0 per game)
Both teams have been involved in matches where both teams scored in 11 out of 17 games this season
Head-to-Head
In 3 previous encounters, Wolfsberger AC has won all 3 matches, with no wins for Grazer AK and no draws
The goal difference is 11:6 in favor of Wolfsberger AC
The last meeting ended in a 3-1 victory for Wolfsberger AC
Historically, Wolfsberger AC clearly dominates this fixture
Key Players
Dejan Zukic is a key player for Wolfsberger AC with 6 goals and 6 assists
Markus Pink has also scored 6 season goals for the home team
For Grazer AK, Daniel Maderner is the most dangerous attacker with 5 goals and 2 assists
Ramiz Harakate also contributes significantly to the visitors' offense with 4 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Nikolas Polster has been in goal for Wolfsberger AC in 15 matches, keeping 4 clean sheets
Jakob Meierhofer is the first-choice goalkeeper for Grazer AK with 17 appearances and has kept 2 clean sheets
Statistically, Polster has the better record this season
Influences
The home advantage for Wolfsberger AC is statistically significant, as they score an average of 1.5 goals at home and concede only 1.25
Grazer AK is extremely vulnerable away, conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game
The Lavanttal Arena is a venue for a moderate number of goals, with an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams are used to natural grass; Wolfsberg has a slightly better record on it (4W-2D-4L) than Graz (3W-2D-5L)