Admiral Bundesliga
Salzburg - Austria Wien
02/06/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.7
1.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
47%
Draw
28%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
31%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
53%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Historical Dominance: Salzburg has won all of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Austria Wien, with a goal difference of 11:1
- Home Strength vs. Away Defense: Salzburg's potent home attack (2.2 goals/game) meets an Austria defense that concedes an average of 1.3 goals away
- Key Absences: Both teams are weakened, especially Austria Wien by the loss of creative player M. Sarkaria (Cruciate Ligament Tear), while Salzburg must do without midfield engine S. Diabaté
Risk Factors
- Austria Wien's Positive Form: Despite the poor H2H record, Austria Wien has secured 3 wins and a draw in their last 5 games and shows a positive trend
- Missing Key Players for Salzburg: The absence of midfielder Soumaïla Diabaté and forward Yorbe Vertessen could disrupt Salzburg's rhythm
- High-Scoring Venue: The high goal rate at the Red Bull Arena (3.8 goals on average) could lead to an open exchange, making the game more unpredictable
Overview
Salzburg, the league leaders with 32 points, host Austria Wien, currently in fifth place with 26 points, at the Red Bull Arena
The Admiral Bundesliga match takes place on February 6, 2026, at 8:30 PM
Salzburg aims to solidify their top position, while Austria Wien looks to stay in touch with the leading group
Form
Salzburg (Form: WLWWL): 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Austria Wien (Form: WWDLW): 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches
Austria Wien shows a slightly better form curve in recent games
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Salzburg scores an average of 2.12 goals per game this season, while Austria Wien averages 1.47
Defensively, Salzburg concedes an average of 1.24 goals, compared to Austria Wien's 1.53
Salzburg is particularly strong offensively at home, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game
Matches at the Red Bull Arena average 3.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of the games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Salzburg has shown clear dominance
Salzburg won all 5 matches
The goal difference is 11:1 in favor of Salzburg
The last meeting ended in a 3:0 victory for Salzburg
Key Players
For Salzburg, Petar Ratkov with 9 season goals and Kerim Alajbegovic with 6 goals are the main attacking threats
Kerim Alajbegovic is in excellent form, with 4 goals in his last 4 appearances
Edmund Baidoo is also on a rising form curve and has contributed 5 season goals
For Austria Wien, Johannes Eggestein is the key offensive player with 5 goals and 6 assists
Defender Tae-seok Lee supports the play with 2 goals and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
Alexander Schlager is in goal for Salzburg and has kept 4 clean sheets this season
His counterpart, Samuel Sahin-Radlinger of Austria Wien, has managed 3 clean sheets
Influences
Salzburg's home advantage is a significant factor, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per home game
The Red Bull Arena is a venue for high-scoring matches, as evidenced by the 3.8 average goals and an 80% rate for 'Both Teams to Score'
Both teams are accustomed to natural grass and have solid records on this surface