Admiral Bundesliga
Hartberg - Rheindorf Altach
02/14/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.5
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
38%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
62%
Away or Draw
68%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Balanced prediction: The mathematical analysis points to a very close game, with a slight advantage for the visitors (38% win chance) over the home team (32%)
- Contrasting form trends: Altach's recent offensive output is on the rise (1.6 goals per game), while Hartberg's goal scoring has slightly declined recently (1.4 goals per game)
- Hartberg's H2H dominance: Despite current form, Hartberg is unbeaten in the last five head-to-head encounters against Altach
Risk Factors
- High unpredictability: The win probabilities for both teams, as well as for a draw (30%), are very close, making the outcome difficult to predict
- Key absences: Both teams are missing suspended regular players (J. Drew for Hartberg, M. Ouédraogo for Altach), which could affect their team structure
Overview
Hartberg (5th place, 27 points) hosts Rheindorf Altach (9th place, 24 points) at the PROfertil ARENA
The Admiral Bundesliga match takes place on February 14, 2026, 5:00 PM
It's a mid-table clash with only three points separating the teams
Form
Hartberg's form from the last five competitive matches is WLDWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
Rheindorf Altach has a form of WDWLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), making them slightly more successful recently
The pure league form for Hartberg is LWLWL, while Altach's is WWDDL
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Hartberg scores an average of 1.5 goals per game this season and concedes 1.28
Rheindorf Altach scores 1.06 goals and concedes 1.06 goals per game
At home, Hartberg is more potent offensively with 1.57 goals per game
Altach is more vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.38 goals
Head-to-Head
Hartberg has remained unbeaten in the last 5 direct encounters
The record is 2 wins for Hartberg, 0 for Rheindorf Altach, and 3 draws
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Hartberg at 7:3
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw
Key Players
Elias Havel is the most important offensive player for Hartberg with 10 season goals and 3 assists
As a defender, Maximilian Hennig has already contributed 1 goal and 4 assists
For Rheindorf Altach, Patrick Greil is the top scorer with 7 season goals
Ousmane Diawara has scored 5 goals this season
Goalkeepers
Hartberg's goalkeeper Tom Ritzy Hülsmann has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Dejan Stojanovic of Rheindorf Altach has managed to keep a clean sheet 6 times this season
Influences
At the PROfertil ARENA, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last five matches
The rate for 'Both teams to score' was 60%, as was the rate for 'Over 2.5 goals'
Hartberg scores an average of 1.57 goals at home, suggesting a slight home advantage in attack