Admiral Bundesliga
Austria Wien - SK Rapid
02/15/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.6
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
38%
Draw
29%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
62%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Clear form advantage for Austria Wien, who have won their last two games, while Rapid is winless in five matches
- Rapid's attack is severely weakened by injuries, with only 55% of their seasonal goal threat available in the squad
- Austria Wien has been more prolific recently (averaging 2.3 goals in recent games) compared to their season average (1.6)
Risk Factors
- Austria Wien's attack is also weakened, with key player Manprit Sarkaria missing and only 63% of their goal threat available
- Austria Wien's defensive weakness at home is a major risk, as they concede an average of 1.86 goals per game
- The head-to-head record in recent encounters is relatively balanced, suggesting an unpredictable derby
Overview
In the Vienna derby of the Admiral Bundesliga, Austria Wien (4th place, 29 points) hosts city rivals SK Rapid (7th place, 26 points)
The match will take place on February 15, 2026, 5:00 PM at the Generali Arena
Austria Wien has the chance to pull further ahead in the standings, while Rapid looks to reconnect with the top half
Form
Austria Wien is in strong form with a record of WDLWW from their last five games
This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
They have won their last two matches
SK Rapid, on the other hand, is winless in their last five games (LLDDD)
They managed 3 draws and suffered 2 defeats, with the last three matches ending in a draw
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Austria Wien scores an average of 1.5 goals per game this season, but concedes an average of 1.86 goals at home
SK Rapid has a goal average of 1.22 and is defensively more stable away, conceding only 1.11 goals per game
Both teams scored in 11 of Austria Wien's 18 matches
For SK Rapid, this was the case in 12 of 18 games
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, SK Rapid has a slight edge with 3 wins, while Austria Wien won twice
There have been no draws in these meetings
The goal difference is very balanced at 8:7 in favor of SK Rapid
Austria Wien won the most recent clash 3:1
Key Players
For Austria Wien, Johannes Eggestein is a crucial factor in attack with 6 goals and 6 assists
Abubakr Barry has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist so far this season
Defender Tae-seok Lee has proven to be a goal threat with 2 goals and 2 assists
For SK Rapid, Nikolaus Wurmbrand is the top scorer in the squad with 4 seasonal goals
Midfielder Matthias Seidl has 1 goal and 3 assists to his name
Defender Nenad Cvetkovic has already scored twice
Goalkeepers
In goal for Austria Wien is Samuel Sahin-Radlinger, who has kept 4 clean sheets this season
SK Rapid's goal will be defended by Niklas Hedl
His team has also kept a clean sheet 4 times in the current season
Influences
The Generali Arena has not been a venue for goal-fests recently, with an average of 2.2 goals in the last five games
Austria Wien is defensively vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.86 goals per home match
This defensive weakness could create opportunities for SK Rapid