Bundesliga
FC Bayern München - TSG Hoffenheim
02/08/2026, 04:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.7
4.4
1.6
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
61%
Draw
18%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
94%
Over 2.5
85%
Over 3.5
62%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
39%
No Draw
82%
Both Score
Yes
78%
No
22%
Key Factors
- Offensive Dominance: Bayern's attack (3.7 goals/game) is their greatest weapon and faces a solid but not insurmountable Hoffenheim defense
- Contrasting Form: Hoffenheim arrives with a perfect streak of five wins, while Bayern's form (WWLWD) has shown slight fluctuations recently
- Historical Superiority: Despite Hoffenheim's strong form, the head-to-head record (4 of 5 wins for Bayern) speaks clearly in favor of the record champions
Risk Factors
- Bayern's Vulnerability: The recent home loss and the negative trend in goal production show that the league leaders are vulnerable
- Hoffenheim's Away Record in Munich: Their excellent form has yet to be tested against FC Bayern's historical dominance at the Allianz Arena
- Missing key players for Hoffenheim: Although the squad has depth, the absence of key performers like Wouter Burger and Tim Lemperle could be felt
Overview
In a top match of the Bundesliga, FC Bayern München (1st place, 51 points) hosts TSG Hoffenheim (3rd place, 42 points)
The match will take place on February 8, 2026, at 5:30 PM at the Allianz Arena
The league leaders aim to extend their lead, while the visitors try to keep pace with the top
Form
FC Bayern München: WWLWD - 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in the last five games
TSG Hoffenheim: WWWWW - a perfect record with 5 wins from the last five games
Hoffenheim arrives with maximum confidence, while Bayern's form has shown a slight dip recently
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
FC Bayern München has by far the best offense in the league, averaging 3.7 goals per game, while TSG Hoffenheim scores a strong 2.15 goals
Defensively, Bayern is also more stable with only 0.9 goals conceded per game compared to Hoffenheim (1.15)
Bayern is particularly dominant at home, scoring an average of 3.64 goals
In all 20 of FC Bayern's league games this season, there have been more than 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, FC Bayern München clearly dominated with 4 wins, while TSG Hoffenheim could only win once
The goal difference of 18:5 underscores Munich's superiority in the recent past
The last meeting ended in a 4:1 victory for FC Bayern
Key Players
Harry Kane (22 season goals, 4 assists) and Michael Olise (10 goals, 15 assists) are the central figures in FC Bayern's attack
For TSG Hoffenheim, Andrej Kramaric (8 goals, 4 assists) and Wouter Burger (4 goals, 6 assists) stand out as the most dangerous players
Goalkeepers
FC Bayern München's Manuel Neuer has kept 8 clean sheets this season
His counterpart, Oliver Baumann of TSG Hoffenheim, has managed 5 clean sheets so far
Influences
FC Bayern's home advantage is statistically significant, with 3.64 goals scored versus only 0.82 goals conceded per home game
The Allianz Arena is a venue for high-scoring matches, as shown by the average of 4.4 goals in recent games
In 80% of the last matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored