Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
02/07/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.0
1.6
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
30%
Draw
32%
Away Win
38%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
62%
Away or Draw
70%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Leverkusen's attacking advantage: Leverkusen's potent offense (2.0 goals/game) meets Gladbach's vulnerable home defense (2.0 goals conceded/game).
- Difference in form: Leverkusen is on the rise with three consecutive wins, while Mönchengladbach has been winless for four games.
- Historical dominance: Mönchengladbach has not won any of the last five encounters against Leverkusen (3 losses, 2 draws).
Risk Factors
- Leverkusen's offensive dip: Leverkusen's recent goal average (1.4) is below their season average (1.9), indicating a decline in scoring efficiency.
- Leverkusen's defensive away weakness: The team has not kept a single clean sheet on the road this season, which could jeopardize any lead.
Overview
Borussia Mönchengladbach (13th place, 21 points) hosts Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6th place, 35 points) at the Stadion im Borussia-Park. The Bundesliga match takes place on February 7, 2026, at 6:30 PM. Mönchengladbach aims to increase the distance to the relegation zone, while Leverkusen wants to solidify its position in the European spots.
Form
Borussia Mönchengladbach: WLDLD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: LLWWW (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
Leverkusen is in significantly better form with a three-game winning streak, whereas Mönchengladbach is winless in their last four matches.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Leverkusen has a much stronger offense, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Mönchengladbach's 1.2. Defensively, the home team is particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per home game. Leverkusen has not kept a single clean sheet away from home this season, conceding an average of 1.78 goals on the road.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Borussia Mönchengladbach failed to secure a win, while Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 3 times, with 2 matches ending in a draw. The goal difference is clearly in Leverkusen's favor at 10:4. The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw.
Key Players
Haris Tabakovic is Mönchengladbach's top scorer with 10 goals this season. For Leverkusen, Alejandro Grimaldo stands out with 5 goals and 5 assists, while Patrik Schick has scored 6 times. Malik Tillman has been in good form recently, scoring 3 goals in his last 5 appearances.
Goalkeepers
Mönchengladbach's Moritz Nicolas has kept 8 clean sheets in 20 matches. Bayer 04 Leverkusen have kept a total of 5 clean sheets this season, but none of them away from home.
Influences
The Stadion im Borussia-Park is a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.0 goals in the last five matches. 80% of these games ended with over 2.5 goals. A decisive factor could be Mönchengladbach's defensive weakness at home, where they concede an average of 2.0 goals per game.