Bundesliga
FC Köln - RB Leipzig
02/08/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.5
1.9
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
31%
Draw
28%
Away Win
41%
Goals
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
40%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
59%
Away or Draw
69%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Leipzig's attacking superiority (1.9 vs 1.45 goals per game) meets a vulnerable Köln defense (1.6 goals conceded per game)
- Historical dominance: Leipzig is unbeaten in the last 5 encounters with a goal difference of 16:4
- Strong defense and goalkeeper performance: Leipzig, with Péter Gulácsi, has kept 9 clean sheets, compared to only 3 for Köln
Risk Factors
- Leipzig's negative form trend: Recent results have been inconsistent, and their goal output is below the season average
- Köln's home strength: Köln scores an average of 1.5 goals per game at home and could challenge the Leipzig defense
- Absences on both sides: Both teams are missing key players, which could impact their respective performances
Overview
FC Köln (10th place, 23 points) host RB Leipzig (6th place, 36 points) at the RheinEnergieStadion. The Bundesliga match takes place on February 8, 2026, at 3:30 PM. Köln is looking to solidify their mid-table position, while Leipzig aims to defend their spot in the race for European qualification.
Form
FC Köln: DLWLW - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
RB Leipzig: WLWDL - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Both teams have an identical and mixed record in their last five matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
RB Leipzig is stronger offensively, scoring an average of 1.9 goals per game compared to Köln's 1.45. Defensively, Leipzig is also superior, conceding an average of 1.35 goals, while Köln concedes 1.6. In 14 of FC Köln's 20 league games, both teams scored. RB Leipzig has kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 20 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Köln has not won, while RB Leipzig won 3 times, and 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal difference of 16:4 in favor of Leipzig highlights their dominance. The last match was a 3-1 victory for RB Leipzig.
Key Players
For Köln, Said El Mala (7 season goals) and Ragnar Ache, who is on a rising form trend, are crucial offensively. For RB Leipzig, Christoph Baumgartner (6 goals, 7 assists) and Yan Diomande (7 goals, 4 assists) are the key figures in attack.
Goalkeepers
FC Köln's Marvin Schwäbe has kept 3 clean sheets in 20 season appearances. RB Leipzig's Péter Gulácsi has managed 9 clean sheets in 20 games, giving him a statistically superior record.
Influences
The RheinEnergieStadion has seen an average of 2.2 total goals per game in the last five matches, with a 60% rate for 'Both teams to score'. On a natural grass surface, RB Leipzig has a slightly better record (4W-2D-4L) than FC Köln (2W-3D-5L).