Superliga
AGF - Odense BK
02/09/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.0
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
48%
Draw
28%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
28%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
52%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Defensive stability: AGF concedes only 0.88 goals at home while Odense allows 2.38 goals away
- Form momentum: Odense unbeaten in 5 games and shows better offense with 2.75 goals than AGF (1.8)
- Personnel concerns: Odense missing top scorer Fiete Arp (8 goals) due to yellow card suspension, only 72% firepower available
Risk Factors
- AGF's offensive slump: Only 1.8 goals in recent form, well below season average of 2.2
- Odense momentum: Visitors currently scoring more (2.8) than season average and in good form
Overview
League leaders AGF (1st place, 40 points) host Odense BK (6th place, 26 points) at Vejlby Stadion
Superliga match on February 9, 2026, 9:00 PM
The table toppers want to consolidate their position while visitors aim to stay in touch with the upper places
Form
AGF: DLWWW - 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in last 5 games
Odense BK: WDDWW - 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
Odense shows better current form and remains unbeaten in 5 games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
AGF averages 2.0 goals per game, Odense BK 1.78
Defensively AGF is much more stable with only 1.0 goals conceded, while Odense allows 2.06
AGF strong at home: 1.88 goals scored, only 0.88 conceded
Odense vulnerable away: 2.38 goals conceded per game
In 15 of 18 Odense games both teams scored
Head-to-Head
5 head-to-head matches: AGF dominates with 3 wins against 0 for Odense BK
2 draws complete the record
Goal statistics: 10:4 in favor of AGF
Last meeting ended 5:1 for AGF on August 18, 2025
Key Players
AGF: Tobias Bech (10 season goals, 7.38 rating), Patrick Mortensen (7 goals), Kristian Arnstad (6 goals, 2 assists)
Odense: Noah Ganaus (8 goals, 2 assists), Jay-Roy Grot (6 goals, 3 assists, currently in top form), Max Ejdum (1 goal, 3 assists)
Goalkeepers
AGF: Jesper Hansen with 6 clean sheets in 17 games
Odense: Viljar Myhra with only 2 clean sheets in 18 team games
AGF significantly more stable defensively
Influences
AGF has strong home record on grass: 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
Odense balanced away on grass: 4 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses
Vejlby Stadion: Average 2.6 goals per game, 40% BTTS rate
Home advantage for AGF statistically proven