Superliga
Randers FC - Vejle Boldklub
02/13/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.9
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:0
8%2:0
8%0:0
7%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
46%
Draw
27%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
54%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Vejle's extreme away weakness: The visitors concede an average of 3.67 goals per game on the road, which plays into Randers' hands
- Randers' offensive crisis: The home team is missing key offensive players, meaning only 35% of their usual goal threat is available according to analysis
- Head-to-head record: Randers is unbeaten in the last five direct encounters against Vejle (4 wins, 1 draw)
Risk Factors
- Lack of goal threat for Randers: The absence of key players drastically reduces their offensive power, making it difficult to exploit Vejle's defensive weakness
- Randers' poor current form: The home team has not won in five games across all competitions (3 draws, 2 losses)
- Short recovery time for Vejle: The visitors have had only four days since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
Overview
Randers FC (9th place, 20 points) host Vejle Boldklub (12th place, 13 points) at Cepheus Park Randers
Superliga match on February 13, 2026, 7:00 PM
This is a clash from the bottom half of the table, where the hosts are looking to pull away while the guests urgently need points to fight relegation
The mathematical analysis favors the home team with a 46% probability of winning
Form
Randers FC are winless in their last five matches across all competitions
Form: LDDLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Their record from these games is 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses
Vejle Boldklub comes with inconsistent form, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five fixtures
Form: WLLWL
Statistics
Offensively, Vejle has a slight edge with 1.16 goals per game compared to Randers (0.89)
Defensively, Randers is significantly more stable with an average of 1.26 goals conceded, compared to Vejle (2.00)
A glaring weakness for Vejle is their defensive performance in away games, where they concede an average of 3.67 goals
Randers FC has kept 7 clean sheets this season, while Vejle Boldklub has only managed 2
Head-to-Head
Randers FC have clearly dominated recent direct encounters
In the last 5 meetings, there have been 4 wins for Randers and 1 draw
Vejle Boldklub has not won any of these matches
The goal difference also favors Randers FC at 9:4
The last match ended in a 1:1 draw
Goalkeepers
In goal for Randers is Paul Izzo, who has kept 7 clean sheets in 14 appearances this season
His counterpart, Igor Vekic of Vejle, has managed this 2 times in 19 appearances
Izzo has a higher average season rating of 7.11 compared to Vekic's 6.85
Influences
The home advantage for Randers FC is amplified by Vejle's massive away weakness, conceding an average of 3.67 goals on the road
Statistics from Cepheus Park Randers suggest low-scoring games, with an average of just 1.6 goals in recent matches
The probability of over 2.5 goals is calculated by the model at 55%