Superliga
FC København - Nordsjælland
02/14/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.2
1.6
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
7%0:2
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
35%
Draw
26%
Away Win
39%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
61%
Away or Draw
65%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- Nordsjælland's extreme away weakness: Conceding an average of 3.14 goals per away game makes the visitors' defense their biggest vulnerability
- København's H2H dominance: 4 wins from the last 5 direct duels show a clear historical superiority
- Tactical contrast: Nordsjælland's possession-based style (59%) meets København's more reactive approach, which is risky given the visitors' defensive fragility
Risk Factors
- København's mixed overall form: Despite strong league form, their form across all competitions (LWDLL) shows some instability
- Nordsjælland's offensive strength: The visitors have significantly increased their goal output recently and are slight favorites according to the model with a 39% win probability
- København's injury concerns: Several absences could impact the home team's defensive stability and options
Overview
FC København (5th place, 28 points) host Nordsjælland (7th place, 27 points) at Parken
Superliga match on February 14, 2026, 5:00 PM
A close mid-table clash with only one point separating the two teams
Form
FC København's overall form is mixed with LWDLL from the last five games (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Nordsjælland arrives with better form of LWLWW (3 wins, 2 losses)
In the league, however, København has recently shown a strong run (WWWLW), while Nordsjælland has struggled (WLLLL)
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Both teams are on par offensively, scoring an average of 1.63 goals per game
The crucial difference lies in the visitors' defense
Nordsjælland concedes a catastrophic average of 3.14 goals per away game
At Parken stadium, an average of 3.0 goals are scored per match, and both teams scored in 60% of cases
Head-to-Head
FC København has dominated recent head-to-head duels
In the last 5 encounters, there were 4 wins for København and 1 win for Nordsjælland
The goal difference of 12:5 also clearly favors the home team
The last match was won 3-1 by København away from home
Key Players
For København, Mohamed Elyounoussi (5 goals, 5 assists) and Jordan Larsson (5 goals) are the key offensive players
For Nordsjælland, Prince Amoako Junior (5 goals, 4 assists) and Ola Solbakken (5 goals) are crucial
Ola Solbakken is showing rising form and has been very clinical recently
Goalkeepers
Dominik Kotarski is in goal for FC København, who have kept 4 clean sheets this season
Andreas Hansen is the goalkeeper for Nordsjælland, whose team has already recorded 6 clean sheets
Influences
The home advantage for København is significant, especially given the extreme defensive weakness of Nordsjælland away from home
The statistics for Parken stadium suggest an entertaining match with an average of 3.0 goals
The high rate for both teams to score (60% BTTS rate at the stadium) promises an open game