Superliga
Odense BK - FC Midtjylland
02/15/2026, 03:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.8
1.4
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
6%0:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
29%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Critical absences for Midtjylland: The visiting team is missing key offensive players, leaving only 48% of their season's goal production available, most notably Franculino (16 goals, 3 assists)
- Superior season performance: Despite the absences, Midtjylland (2nd place) has a significantly stronger season record and a much better goal difference (+28) compared to Odense (8th place, -6)
- Historical dominance: Midtjylland has dominated the head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings and remaining unbeaten
Risk Factors
- Uncertain outcome: The prediction models indicate a very tight match, with probabilities for a home win (36%), an away win (35%), and a draw (29%) being almost equal
- Odense's porous defense: Odense has one of the weaker defenses in the league, conceding an average of 2.05 goals per game this season
- Recent draw: The last encounter between the two teams was a high-scoring 3-3 draw, proving Odense is capable of challenging the favorites
Overview
Odense BK (8th place, 26 points) hosts FC Midtjylland (2nd place, 39 points) at Nature Energy Park
The Superliga match will take place on February 15, 2026, at 4:00 PM
The visitors are looking to keep up with the top of the table, while Odense is positioned in the mid-table
Form
Odense BK Form: DDWWL
In the last 5 matches, there have been 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
The last game was a loss
FC Midtjylland Form: DWDWW
The visitors are unbeaten in 5 matches with 3 wins and 2 draws
They are currently on a two-game winning streak
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
FC Midtjylland's attack is significantly stronger with an average of 2.63 goals per game compared to Odense BK's 1.74
Defensively, Midtjylland is also more stable, conceding only 1.16 goals per game, while Odense concedes 2.05
This season, Odense has seen both teams score in 16 of their 19 matches, while for Midtjylland this has occurred in 12 of 19 games
Away from home, Midtjylland averages 2.67 goals scored, while Odense concedes 1.8 goals per game at home
Head-to-Head
Odense BK has not won in the last 5 direct encounters
FC Midtjylland won 4 times, with one draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of the visitors at 14:8
The last meeting ended in a 3-3 draw
Key Players
For Odense BK, Noah Ganaus (9 goals, 2 assists), Fiete Arp (8 goals, 3 assists), and Jay-Roy Grot (6 goals, 3 assists) are the key offensive players
For FC Midtjylland, Aral Şimşir stands out with 6 goals and an impressive 11 assists, followed by Darío Osorio (4 goals, 5 assists) and Valdemar Byskov (5 goals, 2 assists)
Goalkeepers
In goal for Odense BK is Viljar Myhra; his team has kept 2 clean sheets this season
For FC Midtjylland, Elías Ólafsson is the goalkeeper; his team has managed 6 clean sheets
Influences
Nature Energy Park has recently been the scene of high-scoring games
In the last 5 matches, there was an average of 3.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 of these 5 games
Odense BK has a mixed record at home, scoring 1.7 goals and conceding 1.8 goals per game