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Superliga

Fredericia - Silkeborg IF

03/01/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Fredericia
1.6
Total xG
2.8
Silkeborg IF
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
FRESI

Fredericia

Defensive weakness (2.3 conceded vs 1.7 league avg)
+0.58
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.20
Rising form (2 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.20
Attack weakness (0.73x league average)
-0.12
Oscar Buch not in starting XI (0 goals, 0 assists)
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen not in starting XI (0 goals, 0 assists)
Agon Mucolli not in starting XI (0 goals, 0 assists)
53% of goal output missing (only 42% available)

Silkeborg IF

Defensive weakness (2.2 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
+0.66
Attack weakness (0.6x league average)
-0.34
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.2 goals/match)
-0.28
Declining form (0.2 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.27
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.70
+0.70
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

28%

Away Win

29%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

71%

Away or Draw

57%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

58%

No

42%

Key Factors
  • Critical absences for Fredericia: Only 43% of the seasonal goal threat is available, as key players like Oscar Buch (6 goals/1 assist), Gustav Ølsted Marcussen (4 goals/1 assist), and Agon Mucolli (4 goals/1 assist) are not in the squad
  • Contrasting form trends: Fredericia enters the match with 3 wins from their last 5 games, while Silkeborg IF is experiencing a severe crisis with four consecutive losses
  • Silkeborg's offensive harmlessness: The visitors have recently been scoring only 0.3 goals per game, a dramatic drop from their season average of 1.2
Risk Factors
  • Fredericia's extremely vulnerable home defense, conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game at Monjasa Park
  • The historical data is very limited with only a single head-to-head match to base a reliable prediction on
Overview

Fredericia (10th place, 21 points) hosts Silkeborg IF (11th place, 19 points) at Monjasa Park

Superliga match on March 1, 2026, 5:00 PM

A crucial clash in the relegation battle, with both teams in desperate need of points

Form

Fredericia form: WLWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Fredericia is in good form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last 5 matches

Silkeborg IF form: DLLLL

Silkeborg IF is in a severe crisis with 4 consecutive losses and no win in their last 5 games (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)

Statistics

Offensively, Fredericia has a slight edge with an average of 1.33 goals per game compared to Silkeborg IF's 1.10

Defensively, both teams are very vulnerable: Fredericia concedes an average of 2.29 goals, while Silkeborg IF concedes 2.05

Fredericia's defense is particularly weak at home, allowing an average of 3.0 goals per game

In Fredericia's matches, over 2.5 goals were scored in 15 out of 21 cases, for Silkeborg IF it was 12 out of 21

Head-to-Head

There has been only one head-to-head match between the two teams so far

Fredericia won this single encounter 2-0

In that match, Fredericia scored 2 goals and conceded none

Key Players

Felix Winther has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist for Fredericia this season

Jakob Jessen is showing a rising form trend and has already provided 3 assists

William Madsen was recently involved in 1 goal and 1 assist

Tonni Adamsen is Silkeborg IF's top scorer with 8 goals and 3 assists

Callum McCowatt has also scored 8 goals and set up another 2

Younes Bakiz contributed to the attack with 2 goals and 2 assists

Goalkeepers

Etienne Green is in goal for Fredericia, whose team has kept 2 clean sheets this season

Aske Andrèsen guards the goal for Silkeborg IF; his team has managed 1 clean sheet so far

Influences

Fredericia has significant defensive problems at home, having conceded 21 goals in 7 home games

An average of 3.0 goals are scored per game at Monjasa Park

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 3 of the last 5 home matches

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