Superliga
Vejle Boldklub - AGF
03/01/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
3.4
2.2
1:1
10%1:2
10%0:2
8%1:3
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Vejle Boldklub
AGF
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
19%
Draw
23%
Away Win
58%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
42%
Away or Draw
81%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- League table gap: League leaders AGF face bottom-of-the-table Vejle, a difference reflected in their current form
- AGF's offensive dominance: With a goal average of 2.1 per game, AGF is statistically far superior to the home team (1.19)
- Defensive stability: AGF concedes only half as many goals as Vejle (1.05 vs. 2.05), which is a clear advantage
Risk Factors
- Vejle's home defense: Despite their poor season record, Vejle concedes significantly fewer goals at home (1.23 per game)
- Injury concerns for Vejle: The home team is missing four players due to injury, which could further weaken the squad
- Historical result: Vejle won the last head-to-head home game against AGF, suggesting a potential for an upset
Overview
A clash of opposites in the Superliga: league leaders AGF (1st place, 47 points) visit relegation-threatened Vejle Boldklub (12th place, 14 points)
The match takes place on March 1, 2026, 5:00 PM at Vejle Stadion
AGF aims to consolidate their top spot, while Vejle desperately needs points to stay up
Form
Vejle Boldklub is going through a difficult phase with the form L W L L D
From the last five games, they've managed only one win, one draw, and three losses
AGF, on the other hand, arrives with an impressive streak: W W W D W
The team is unbeaten in five games, winning four of them
The form guide clearly favors the visitors
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
The statistical differences are stark
AGF has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.1 goals per game, while Vejle averages 1.19
Defensively, the contrast is even greater: AGF concedes an average of just 1.05 goals, whereas Vejle concedes 2.05
Interestingly, Vejle is defensively more stable at home (1.23 goals conceded) than away (3.38)
Matches at Vejle Stadion are often high-scoring, with an average of 3.2 goals in the last five games
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, AGF has had the clear upper hand
The record stands at three wins for AGF, one win for Vejle Boldklub, and one draw
The goal difference of 9:4 also speaks in favor of the visitors
The last meeting was won by AGF with a 1-0 scoreline
AGF has shown dominance in recent encounters
Key Players
For Vejle Boldklub, Christian Gammelgaard (6 goals, 3 assists) and Mikkel Duelund (5 goals, 1 assist) are the key offensive players
For AGF, the main goalscorers are Tobias Bech with 10 season goals and 3 assists, and Kristian Arnstad, who has scored 9 times and provided 3 assists
Patrick Mortensen is also a crucial part of the visitors' attack with 7 goals
Goalkeepers
In goal for Vejle Boldklub is Igor Vekic, who has kept 2 clean sheets in 21 games this season
His counterpart at AGF is Jesper Hansen, who has already kept a clean sheet 6 times in 20 appearances
Statistically, Hansen has had the stronger season so far
Influences
Vejle Boldklub shows clear defensive strength at home, conceding an average of just 1.23 goals per game at Vejle Stadion
The stadium itself has recently seen high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.2 goals and an over 2.5 rate of 80% in the last five home games
This statistic points towards an entertaining match