Superliga
FC København - Randers FC
03/01/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.9
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
FC København
Randers FC
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
30%
Draw
27%
Away Win
43%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
57%
Away or Draw
70%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Randers' depleted offense: The away team has only 45% of its seasonal goal threat available, as key attacker Mohamed Touré (4 goals) is not in the squad
- Copenhagen's crisis of form and absences: The home team is winless in five matches and is further weakened by numerous injuries and a suspension
- Mathematical trend favoring the visitors: Despite the league standings, the prediction model slightly favors Randers FC with a 43% win probability
Risk Factors
- Copenhagen's weakened squad: The home team is affected by personnel issues, able to call upon only about 65% of its goal threat from this season
- Copenhagen's historical superiority: Despite current problems, Copenhagen has clearly dominated recent head-to-head encounters, which could give them an advantage
Overview
FC København (7th place, 29 points) host Randers FC (9th place, 23 points) at Parken
Superliga match on March 1, 2026, 5:00 PM
A mid-table clash where both teams are hoping for a turnaround
Form
FC København are in a crisis of form and winless in their last five matches (Form: DLLLD) with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Randers FC also show inconsistent form with only one win from their last five games (Form: DLDWL), recording 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Copenhagen scores more goals on average for the season (1.62) than Randers (0.95)
Defensively, Randers are slightly more stable, conceding an average of 1.24 goals per game compared to Copenhagen's 1.52
In Copenhagen's matches, over 2.5 goals were scored in 12 of 21 games, while for Randers this was the case in only 9 of 21
Head-to-Head
In the last five direct encounters, FC København have clearly dominated with 4 wins and one draw
The goal difference of 13:3 underscores this superiority
The last meeting ended in a decisive 5-1 victory for Copenhagen
Key Players
For FC København, Jordan Larsson (6 season goals, 2 assists) and defender Gabriel Pereira (1 season goal) are ones to watch
For Randers FC, goal-scoring defender Daniel Høegh (3 season goals) and attacker Elies Mahmoud (2 goals, 2 assists) are key players
Goalkeepers
In goal for Copenhagen is Dominik Kotarski; the team has achieved 4 clean sheets this season
For Randers, Paul Izzo is in goal; his team has already kept a clean sheet 8 times
Influences
At Parken, an average of 2.6 goals have been scored in recent matches
Copenhagen has a balanced home record with 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game
Randers FC are less prolific away from home (1.0 goals per game) and more vulnerable defensively (1.33 goals conceded)