Superliga
Viborg FF - Nordsjælland
03/01/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.1
1.5
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
Viborg FF
Nordsjælland
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
26%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Key Factors
- Matchup imbalance: Viborg's solid home offense (1.62 goals/game) meets Nordsjælland's extremely vulnerable away defense (2.88 goals conceded/game)
- Goal-fest expected: Both teams have high scoring averages, and the venue has recently seen an average of 4.4 goals per game. The model predicts a 64% probability for both teams to score
- Nordsjælland's momentum: Despite their away weakness, Nordsjælland is unbeaten in 4 games and has historical dominance, winning 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches
Risk Factors
- Weakened offense for Viborg: The home team only has 60% of its goal production available, as key player Tim Freriks is not in the squad
- Historical record: Viborg has won only one of the last 5 encounters against Nordsjælland, which could be a psychological hurdle
- Absences for Nordsjælland: The guests are missing midfielder J. Meltofte Janssen due to a red card suspension
Overview
Viborg FF (6th place, 30 points) hosts Nordsjælland (5th place, 31 points) at the Energi Viborg Arena
This is a clash between direct league table neighbors in the Superliga on March 1, 2026, 5:00 PM
Both teams are fighting for a better position in the top half of the table
Form
Viborg FF form: DDWWL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
Their last match ended in a loss, which broke a four-game unbeaten streak
Nordsjælland form: LWWWD (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Nordsjælland is unbeaten in their last four matches, showing strong current form
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, both teams are almost level with 1.67 goals per game (Viborg) and 1.71 (Nordsjælland)
A key difference lies in defense: Nordsjælland concedes an average of 2.88 goals per away game, while Viborg allows only 1.38 goals at home
Matches at the Energi Viborg Arena are often high-scoring, with an average of 4.4 goals in the last five games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 14 of Viborg's 21 league games, and in 15 of 21 for Nordsjælland
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Nordsjælland dominated with 4 wins, while Viborg FF managed to win only once
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Nordsjælland at 11:5
The last meeting was also won by Nordsjælland with a 1-0 scoreline
Key Players
For Viborg FF, Thomas Jørgensen (3 goals, 6 assists) and Charly Nouck (5 goals, 3 assists) are the key figures in attack
Mads Søndergaard has also contributed 5 goals this season
For Nordsjælland, Prince Amoako Junior (6 goals, 4 assists) and Ola Solbakken (6 goals) stand out, the latter having scored 4 goals in his last 4 games
Alexander Lind is also a key offensive player with 5 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
In goal for Viborg is Lucas Lund, who has kept 6 clean sheets this season
Nordsjælland's goal is kept by Andreas Hansen, who has also been part of his team's 6 clean sheets this season
Influences
The home advantage for Viborg is statistically significant, especially due to Nordsjælland's glaring defensive weakness away from home (2.88 goals conceded per game)
The Energi Viborg Arena has recently been the scene of very high-scoring matches, with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4 of the last 5 home games