Copa Del Rey
Real Betis - Atlético de Madrid
02/05/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.4
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
40%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
18%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
60%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Significant weakening of both attacks: Real Betis has only 39% of their goal-scoring threat available, while Atlético has a mere 11%
- Defensive advantage for Atlético: Atlético's solid defense (0.77 goals conceded/game) faces a heavily depleted Betis attack
- Historical dominance: Atlético has won the majority of recent head-to-head encounters, showing clear superiority
Risk Factors
- High unpredictability: The massive absences on both sides make statistics and past performances less reliable
- Weather conditions: Moderate rain could make the game unpredictable and lead to errors
- Contradictory data: Some players like Griezmann are in the starting lineup but also listed as injured, creating uncertainty
Overview
Real Betis hosts Atlético Madrid at the Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla for a Copa Del Rey match
The game will take place on February 5, 2026, at 9:00 PM
Form
Real Betis form: WLLWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last 5 games, there have been 3 wins and 2 losses
Atlético Madrid form: WDWLD
In the last 5 games, there have been 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Statistics
Offensively, Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.73 goals per game, compared to Real Betis's 1.64
Defensively, Atlético Madrid is significantly more stable with only 0.77 goals conceded per game, while Real Betis concedes 1.27
At home, Real Betis scores an average of 1.69 goals and concedes 0.92
Away, Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.71 goals and concedes 1.43
Atlético Madrid has kept 10 clean sheets this season, Real Betis has 7
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head encounters, Atlético Madrid has won 3 times, while Real Betis has recorded 1 victory, with 1 draw
The overall goal difference is 8:3 in favor of Atlético Madrid
The last meeting ended in a 2:0 victory for Atlético Madrid
Key Players
Chimy Ávila has contributed with 2 goals and 2 assists for Real Betis this season
Pablo Fornals has shown good form recently with 2 goals in 5 games
Antony has been involved in 3 goals in the last 5 games (1 goal, 2 assists)
Antoine Griezmann has already scored 3 goals for Atlético Madrid this season
Dávid Hancko is a key player in defense and provided an assist in the last 5 matches
Ademola Lookman is another attacking option for the visitors
Goalkeepers
Real Betis's goalkeeper, Adrián, is part of a team that has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Juan Musso of Atlético Madrid belongs to a squad that has already kept a clean sheet 10 times
Influences
Real Betis is strong at home, scoring an average of 1.69 goals while conceding only 0.92
The Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla has recently seen high-scoring games, with an average of 3.0 goals per game and an over 2.5 rate of 80%
Moderate rain is expected, which could affect playing conditions
Atlético Madrid has a record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss on grass surfaces