Bundesliga
SC Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach
02/22/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
9%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
30%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Head-to-head: Freiburg is unbeaten in 5 games against Mönchengladbach (3 wins, 2 draws) and historically dominant
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Freiburg is very stable defensively at home (only 0.85 goals conceded/game)
- Guests' form crisis: Mönchengladbach has been winless for 5 matches, which makes Freiburg the favorite according to the mathematical prediction (44% win chance)
Risk Factors
- Weakened Freiburg offense: Due to the absence of Johan Manzambi, only 59% of the team's usual goal threat is available according to the data
- Goal drought for both teams: Both teams have recently scored significantly fewer goals than their season average, suggesting a low-scoring game
- Strong goalkeeper performance: Gladbach's Moritz Nicolas has already proven his class with 8 clean sheets and could be a decisive factor
Overview
SC Freiburg (8th place, 30 points) host Borussia Mönchengladbach (14th place, 22 points)
The Bundesliga match will take place on February 22, 2026, at 3:30 PM at the Europa-Park Stadion
Freiburg aims to establish themselves in the upper mid-table, while Gladbach is fighting for crucial points against relegation
Form
SC Freiburg form: WLLWL (2 wins, 3 losses from the last 5 matches)
Borussia Mönchengladbach form: DLDDL (3 draws, 2 losses from the last 5 matches)
Freiburg shows inconsistency but has managed to secure home wins recently
Mönchengladbach is winless in their last five matches and is in a form crisis
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Freiburg is very strong defensively at home, conceding only 0.85 goals per home game on average
In comparison, Mönchengladbach's attack is less potent with an average of 1.14 goals per game
At home, SC Freiburg scores an average of 1.46 goals
In 13 of SC Freiburg's 22 league games, both teams scored, whereas for Mönchengladbach this was the case in only 8 of 22 games
Head-to-Head
SC Freiburg is undefeated in the last 5 head-to-head encounters
The record stands at 3 wins for Freiburg, 0 wins for Mönchengladbach, and 2 draws
The goal difference of 11:5 also clearly favors the home team
The last meeting between the two teams ended in a 0-0 draw
Key Players
Vincenzo Grifo is a key player for Freiburg with 6 goals and 1 assist
Igor Matanovic has also proven his goal-scoring threat with 5 goals and 1 assist
Yuito Suzuki has been directly involved in 6 goals (3 goals, 3 assists)
Haris Tabakovic is Mönchengladbach's undisputed top striker with 10 goals this season
Defender Kevin Diks has already scored 3 times this season
Yannik Engelhardt has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist
Goalkeepers
Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg has kept 5 clean sheets this season
His counterpart, Moritz Nicolas of Borussia Mönchengladbach, has already achieved this 8 times
Both goalkeepers are showing an upward trend in form
Influences
SC Freiburg benefits from a strong home record, especially in defense with only 0.85 goals conceded per game
The last five matches at the Europa-Park Stadion have tended to be low-scoring, with an average of 2.0 goals per game
Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 5 home games