Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg - FC Augsburg
02/21/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.1
1.6
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
7%0:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
35%
Draw
26%
Away Win
39%
Goals
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
61%
Away or Draw
65%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Key Factors
- Clear form advantage for Augsburg: The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 games, while Wolfsburg is winless in 5 matches
- Extremely vulnerable defenses: Wolfsburg concedes 1.92 goals at home, Augsburg 2.22 away – this suggests many goals, supporting the 64% prediction for 'Both teams to score'
- Historical dominance: Augsburg has won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head duels and is unbeaten against Wolfsburg in 5 games
Risk Factors
- Wolfsburg's offense weakened: With Patrick Wimmer (3 goals, 3 assists) a key attacker is missing, leaving only 81% of their goal threat available
- Augsburg's catastrophic away defense: Despite good form, the team concedes 2.22 goals per away game and has not kept a single clean sheet on the road
- Wolfsburg's goal production is stuttering: According to stats, the Wolves are recently scoring only 1.0 goal per game, significantly less than their season average of 1.4
Overview
VfL Wolfsburg (15th place, 20 points) hosts FC Augsburg (11th place, 25 points) at the Volkswagen Arena
The Bundesliga match takes place on February 21, 2026, at 3:30 PM
This is a crucial clash in the relegation battle, where both teams need points to distance themselves from the bottom of the table
Form
VfL Wolfsburg form: DLLLD
The Wolves are winless in their last 5 matches, securing only 2 draws and suffering 3 losses
FC Augsburg form: DWWLW
The visitors are in strong form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss from their last 5 games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Both teams show significant defensive vulnerabilities
VfL Wolfsburg concedes an average of 1.92 goals per game at home and has not kept a clean sheet in any home match this season
FC Augsburg is even more vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 2.22 goals per game
Offensively, Wolfsburg scores an average of 1.41 goals, while Augsburg averages 1.14 goals per game
Head-to-Head
FC Augsburg has dominated the last 5 head-to-head encounters
VfL Wolfsburg failed to win any of these matches
Augsburg won 4 times, while one match ended in a draw
The goal difference of 11:5 also clearly favors the visitors
Key Players
For VfL Wolfsburg, the key players are Mohamed Amoura (8 season goals, 2 assists), Christian Eriksen (1 goal, 4 assists), and Lovro Majer (2 goals, 3 assists)
For FC Augsburg, Alexis Claude-Maurice (3 goals, 3 assists), Mert Kömür (2 goals, 3 assists), and Dimitrios Giannoulis (2 goals, 3 assists) are of particular importance
Goalkeepers
In goal for VfL Wolfsburg is Kamil Grabara, who has kept only one clean sheet this season
His counterpart, Finn Dahmen of FC Augsburg, has already kept a clean sheet 4 times this season
Influences
The Volkswagen Arena has recently been a venue for high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.8 goals in the last five games
Both teams have scored in all five of these matches
Wolfsburg's defensive weakness at home is evident, with 1.92 goals conceded per game and not a single clean sheet