Bundesliga
FC Bayern München - Eintracht Frankfurt
02/21/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.2
1.0
1:1
10%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
7%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
64%
Draw
21%
Away Win
14%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
86%
Away or Draw
36%
No Draw
79%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Critical weakening for Frankfurt: Due to numerous absences, only 36% of the usual goal threat is available in the squad, with key players like Can Uzun and Jonathan Burkardt missing
- Offensive dominance vs. vulnerable defense: Bayern's attack (3.75 home goals per game) meets Frankfurt's weak away defense (2.33 goals conceded per game)
- Form and home strength: Bayern has been victorious in their last two games and is extremely strong at home, while Frankfurt is very vulnerable defensively away
Risk Factors
- Key players missing for Bayern: The absence of starting goalkeeper Manuel Neuer and creative player Jamal Musiala could impact defensive stability and offensive creativity
- Frankfurt's underlying goal threat: Although their form is poor, Frankfurt averages 2.0 goals per game this season, suggesting they are capable of scoring
Overview
League leaders FC Bayern München (1st place, 57 points) host Eintracht Frankfurt (7th place, 31 points) at the Allianz Arena
Bundesliga match on February 21, 2026, 3:30 PM
Bayern enter the match as clear favorites, looking to consolidate their lead at the top of the table
Form
FC Bayern München form (all competitions): LWDWW
In the last five matches, there were 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Bayern come into this game with two consecutive wins
Eintracht Frankfurt form (all competitions): LLLDW
Frankfurt has won only 1 of their last five matches (1 draw, 3 losses)
The most recent win ended a streak of three consecutive defeats
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
FC Bayern München has by far the best attack in the league, with an average of 3.73 goals per game
At home in the Allianz Arena, Bayern are even more dangerous with 3.75 goals per game
Eintracht Frankfurt is defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.09 goals per game, and 2.33 away from home
Bayern's home games see an average of 4.8 goals per match
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, FC Bayern München clearly has the upper hand with 3 wins, compared to 1 win for Frankfurt and 1 draw
The goal difference from these matches is 13:9 in favor of Bayern
The last game between the two teams ended in a 3-0 victory for FC Bayern München
Key Players
Harry Kane has been directly involved in 31 goals this season (26 goals, 5 assists)
Michael Olise is a key creative player with 10 goals and 16 assists
Luis Díaz is also a goal threat with 13 season goals and 10 assists
Ritsu Doan has scored 4 goals and provided 5 assists this season
Defender Nathaniel Brown already has 3 goals and 5 assists to his name
Robin Koch is an important part of Frankfurt's defense and has scored 3 goals this season
Goalkeepers
For the injured M. Neuer, Jonas Urbig is in goal for Bayern, having played in 5 games this season
For Eintracht Frankfurt, Kauã Santos is the goalkeeper; he has played in 11 matches
This season, FC Bayern has kept 9 clean sheets, while Frankfurt has managed 4
Influences
The Allianz Arena is a fortress for FC Bayern, where they score an average of 3.75 goals per game and concede only 0.83
Matches at this stadium are often high-scoring, with an average of 4.8 goals in the last five games
Frankfurt's defensive weakness away from home (2.33 goals conceded on average) could be decisive here