Bundesliga
FC Union Berlin - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
02/21/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.8
1.7
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
9%2:1
6%1:3
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
24%
Draw
27%
Away Win
49%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
51%
Away or Draw
76%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Drastic form difference: Leverkusen is unbeaten in five games (4 wins), while Union is winless in five
- Offensive superiority: Leverkusen's attack is currently scoring more frequently (2.6 goals per game recently) and faces a Union defense that concedes an average of 1.68 goals per game
- Head-to-head record: Leverkusen has clearly dominated the last five encounters (4 wins, 1 draw) with a goal difference of 9-1
Risk Factors
- Potential fatigue for Leverkusen: The visitors had only three days of rest since their last match, while Union had a full week to recover
- High-scoring home games: Union's stadium has recently seen an average of 3.2 goals per game, and in 4 of 5 cases both teams scored, which could indicate an open match
Overview
FC Union Berlin, currently in 10th place with 25 points, hosts Bayer 04 Leverkusen, who are 6th with 39 points
The Bundesliga match will take place on February 21, 2026, at 3:30 PM at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Leverkusen aims to solidify their position for European competitions, while Union is in the mid-table
Form
Union Berlin's form is concerning with a record of DLLDL from their last five matches
The team is winless in five games, having suffered three losses and two draws
Bayer 04 Leverkusen, on the other hand, arrives in excellent form: WWDWW
The Werkself are unbeaten in five games, winning four of them
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Bayer 04 Leverkusen has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.05 goals per game, while Union Berlin averages 1.27 goals
The visitors are also more stable defensively, conceding an average of 1.29 goals, compared to Union's 1.68
Leverkusen is particularly dangerous on the road, scoring an average of 2.11 goals per away game
Union Berlin has conceded at least one goal in 14 of 22 league games, while this was the case for Leverkusen in 12 of 21 games
Head-to-Head
Bayer Leverkusen has clearly dominated the last five head-to-head encounters
Leverkusen won four of the last five meetings, with one draw
The goal difference of 9-1 also speaks clearly in favor of the visitors
The last encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for Bayer Leverkusen
Key Players
For Union Berlin, key players to watch are Andrej Ilic with one goal and eight assists, as well as the goal-scoring defenders Danilho Doekhi (4 season goals) and midfielder Rani Khedira (4 season goals)
For Bayer Leverkusen, Alejandro Grimaldo with five goals and five assists, Malik Tillman with four season goals, and Aleix GarcĂa with one goal and five assists are the key players in attack
Goalkeepers
In goal for Union Berlin is Frederik Rönnow, who has kept four clean sheets in 22 appearances this season
Janis Blaswich is in goal for Leverkusen
The Bayer Leverkusen team has kept a total of six clean sheets this season
Influences
The Stadion An der Alten Försterei has recently been the scene of high-scoring games
In the last five home matches, there has been an average of 3.2 goals per game
In four of these five games, both teams scored, and four matches saw more than 2.5 goals
Union Berlin scores an average of 1.23 goals at home but also concedes 1.31 goals